Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

585
WTPZ21 KNHC 300255
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026
0300 UTC SUN AUG 30 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 120.2W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......260NE 240SE  90SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 240SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 120.2W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 119.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 17.3N 121.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...210NE 190SE  90SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 17.6N 123.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 17.8N 125.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 18.0N 126.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.7N 128.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.3N 130.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 20.7N 132.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 22.6N 134.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 120.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z