Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

205
ABPZ20 KNHC 292314
TWOEP 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Aug 29 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Karina, located well southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, located well 
east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. 
Well Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of disturbed weather, associated with a tropical wave, is 
located well to the south of southwestern Mexico. This system is 
expected to move west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 
mph. Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual 
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form during the early to middle part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Central Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form well south or southwest of the 
Hawaiian Islands in the next few days. Some gradual development is 
possible thereafter and a tropical depression could form during the 
middle to latter part of next week. The system should move slowly 
west-northwestward, and stay well southwest of the Hawaiian Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.