Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

697
WTPZ21 KNHC 292031
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026
2100 UTC SAT AUG 29 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 118.8W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 200SE   0SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 270SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 118.8W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 118.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 16.9N 120.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE   0SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.4N 122.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  40SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 17.7N 123.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.9N 125.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.3N 126.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.0N 128.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 20.4N 131.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 22.2N 133.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  10SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 118.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z