Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

861
ABPZ20 KNHC 282337
TWOEP 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Aug 28 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Karina, located well south-southwest of the southern tip of 
the Baja California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Lowell, 
located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. 
Well Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of disturbed weather, associated with a tropical wave, is 
located well to the south of southwestern Mexico. Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system, 
and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while 
it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Central Pacific:
An area of low pressure could form well south or southwest of the 
Hawaiian Islands in a few days. Some gradual development is possible 
thereafter and a tropical depression could form during the middle 
part of next week while the system moves slowly west-northwestward, 
well offshore of the Hawaiian Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.