Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

651
WTPZ22 KNHC 272045
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122026
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 133.8W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 133.8W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 134.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 11.6N 133.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 12.1N 133.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 12.6N 133.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 12.9N 134.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.0N 136.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 13.2N 138.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 13.4N 141.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 13.8N 144.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 133.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z