Tropical Cyclone Discussion

041
WTPA42 PHFO 262032
TCDCP2
 
Tropical Storm Lala Discussion Number  58
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   CP012026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM HST Wed Aug 26 2026
 
Satellite imagery reveals little change in Lala’s convective 
structure over the last couple of hours. Subjective Dvorak intensity 
estimates from HFO and JTWC at 1800 UTC were 35 and 30 kt, 
respectively, while objective estimates ranged from 45-50 kt. Given 
the relatively steady nature of Lala’s appearance on satellite 
imagery since the last advisory, the initial intensity was held at 
40 kt. 
 
Lala’s speed remains slow, with an initial motion estimate of 320/4 
kt. A high pressure ridge centered to the storm’s east-northeast 
will drive a slow storm motion toward the north-northwest, before 
the system gradually turns more westward as it moves away from the 
ridge’s influence. Little change was made to the track forecast from 
the last advisory package, as models generally exhibited good 
agreement in the track while Lala remains tropical.

With the storm moving over gradually decreasing SSTs and 
increasing vertical wind shear, Lala is expected to become a 
post-tropical remnant low within the next 48 hours, right when the 
system is forecast to cross the international dateline. Changes to 
the intensity forecast were minimal, with the main adjustment being 
to show an earlier dissipation for Lala at 96 hours. This is sooner 
than the previous forecast, as global models generally depict the 
system becoming an open trough over the weekend. 
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  26/2100Z 36.1N 178.3W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  27/0600Z 36.7N 178.6W   40 KT  45 MPH
 24H  27/1800Z 37.4N 179.0W   35 KT  40 MPH
 36H  28/0600Z 38.1N 179.6W   35 KT  40 MPH
 48H  28/1800Z 38.5N 179.2E   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  29/0600Z 39.4N 177.7E   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  29/1800Z 41.2N 176.1E   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  30/1800Z...DISSIPATED