Tropical Cyclone Discussion

545
WTPA43 PHFO 250241
TCDCP3
 
Tropical Depression Moke Discussion Number  19
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   CP022026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM HST Mon Aug 24 2026

An earlier burst of convection appears to have helped Moke maintain 
its status as a tropical depression for now. ASCAT-C data near 2100 
UTC showed it still has a stretched, but well-enough defined 
circulation, with maximum believable winds near 30 kt. Therefore, 
the initial intensity is held at that value for this forecast 
advisory. Since then, another convective burst has formed north of 
Moke's center, but recent visible imagery also indicates that 
center has become less well-defined over time.

All models continue to indicate that Moke will become post-tropical 
very soon. In fact, based on recent trends it may open into a 
remnant trough of low pressure tonight before it totally loses its 
deep convection. Regardless, no significant changes were made to 
the NHC forecast with the models in good agreement on the forecast 
for the next day or so.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  25/0300Z 16.0N 163.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  25/1200Z 16.0N 165.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  26/0000Z...DISSIPATED