Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
044 ABNT20 KNHC 240526 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure are located a few hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. Further development of the low is possible, and this system could become a short-lived tropical depression or storm during the next couple of days while it moves northward and north-northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa later today, and an area of low pressure could form in association with the wave early this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to latter portions of the week while the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.