Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

048
ABPZ20 KNHC 220531
TWOEP 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 21 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Lala, located north of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National 
Monument, and on Tropical Storm Moke, located about 600 miles 
southeast of Hilo, Hawaii.
Southwest of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest 
of the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is moving 
west-northwestward and is likely to become a tropical depression by 
the end of this weekend or early next week before it interacts, or 
possibly merges with, the disturbance to its west (EP91).
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Central East Pacific (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of 
the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions 
appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression 
could form by the end of this weekend before it interacts, or 
possibly merges with, the disturbance to its east.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Well Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure is expected to develop well south of 
the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula during the middle 
portion of next week. Some slow development is expected thereafter 
while the system moves generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.