Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
417 ABNT20 KNHC 150543 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Aug 15 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Near the Windward Islands (AL92): A tropical wave near the Windward Islands is producing gusty winds and an area of showers and thunderstorms. This system is moving into a region of increasing upper-level winds and drier air, and the potential for tropical cyclone formation has decreased. Even though development is highly unlikely, strong gusty winds to near gale force and areas of heavy rain are possible across portions of the Lesser Antilles today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94): A tropical wave over the Central Tropical Atlantic, located more than 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system could occur during the next couple of days. After that time, the system is expected to encounter strong upper-level winds, decreasing its chances for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...20 percent.