Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

539
ABNT20 KNHC 141122
TWOAT 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 14 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
A tropical wave located about 400 miles east of the Windward Islands 
is producing gusty winds and a large area of showers and 
thunderstorms. This system is moving into a region of increasing 
upper-level winds and dry air, and the potential of development 
continues to decrease. Even though development is unlikely, gusty 
winds and areas of heavy rain are possible across portions of the 
Lesser Antilles tonight and on Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic, located more 
than 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands, continues to produce 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are 
forecast to be generally conducive for gradual development, and a 
tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week while 
the wave moves westward or west-northwestward across the central 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.