Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

455
ABNT20 KNHC 140528
TWOAT 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 14 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located 
about 650 miles east of the Lesser Antilles have continued to become 
less organized. This system is moving into a region of increasing 
upper-level winds and dry air, and the possibility of development is 
decreasing. Regardless of development, interests in the Lesser 
Antilles should continue to monitor the progress of this system 
since gusty winds and areas of heavy rain are possible across these 
islands Friday night and Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo 
Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for 
gradual development, and a tropical depression could form late this 
week or this weekend while the wave moves westward or 
west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.