Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

982
ABNT20 KNHC 131741
TWOAT 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristobal, located about 500 miles 
west-northwest of the Azores.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms have become less organized in association 
with a tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser 
Antilles. In addition, recent satellite-derived wind data indicate 
that the system does not have a closed circulation.  This system is 
expected to move into a region of strong upper-level winds and dry 
air, and the development chances appear to be decreasing. Interests 
in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system as 
gusty winds and areas of heavy rain are possible Friday night and 
Saturday, regardless of development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo 
Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for 
gradual development, and a tropical depression could form late this 
week or this weekend while the wave moves westward or 
west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.