Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

093
ABNT20 KNHC 130526
TWOAT 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Cristobal, located over the Atlantic well to the west of the 
Azores.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located 
midway between the Lesser Antilles and the west coast of Africa 
have become a little better organized since yesterday.  
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further 
development during the next day or so, and a tropical depression 
will likely form while the system moves westward to west- 
northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. Beginning on 
Friday, upper-level winds are likely to become too strong for 
development as the system approaches the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde 
Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for 
some development, and a tropical depression could form late this 
week or this weekend while the wave moves westward or west- 
northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Cristobal are issued under WMO 
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Cristobal are issued under 
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.