Marine/aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory

236
WTPA22 PHFO 130247
TCMCP2
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE-C FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC THU AUG 13 2026
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 143.5W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......240NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 180SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 143.5W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 143.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.2N 144.6W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.2N 146.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.3N 149.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.1N 151.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.8N 154.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.6N 156.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  70SE  50SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 21.4N 162.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  50SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 23.3N 167.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  50SW 110NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 143.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z