Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

945
ABNT20 KNHC 122338
TWOAT 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Cristobal, located over the Atlantic well to the west of the 
Azores.
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization  
associated with a tropical wave located midway between the Lesser 
Antilles and the west coast of Africa.  Environmental conditions 
are forecast to be conducive for further development, and a 
tropical depression will likely form during the next day or two 
while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the 
central tropical Atlantic.  Upper-level winds are likely to become 
too strong for development as the wave approaches the Lesser 
Antilles this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde 
Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for 
some development, and a tropical depression could form late this 
week or this weekend while the wave moves westward or west- 
northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Cristobal are issued under WMO 
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Cristobal are issued under 
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.