Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

807
ABNT20 KNHC 120531
TWOAT 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in 
association with a tropical wave located around 800 miles southwest 
of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to 
be conducive for development during the next few days, and a 
tropical depression will likely form within a couple of days while 
the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL93):
Recent satellite wind data indicate that the broad low-pressure 
area located about 1000 miles east-northeast of Bermuda has 
developed gale-force winds. However, the circulation is elongated 
and the associated convection has become a less organized during 
the past few hours. Some development of this system is possible 
through tonight, and a short-lived tropical storm could form while 
it moves eastward to east-northeastward at around 20 mph across the 
central subtropical Atlantic.  The system is forecast to reach 
cooler waters by Thursday, ending its chances of formation. Addition 
information on this system is found in High Seas Forecasts issued by 
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave just offshore of the coast of west Africa is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for some 
development of this system during the next several days while it 
moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and central 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php