Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

868
ABNT20 KNHC 112340
TWOAT 
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in 
association with a tropical wave located around 700 miles southwest 
of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to 
be conducive for development during the next few days, and a 
tropical depression will likely form within a couple of days while 
the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL93):
Satellite images indicate that the low-level circulation associated 
with a broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles east- 
northeast of Bermuda has become better defined today.  Further 
development of this system is possible, and a short-lived tropical 
depression or storm could form during the next day or so while it 
moves eastward at around 20 mph across the central subtropical 
Atlantic.  The system is forecast to reach cooler waters by 
Thursday, ending its chances of formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave just offshore of the coast of west Africa is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for some 
development of this system during the next several days while it 
moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and central 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.