{"msg": "629\nAXNT20 KNHC 142328\nTWDAT \nTropical Weather Discussion\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\n0015 UTC Sat Nov 14 2026\nTropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America\nGulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South\nAmerica, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the\nEquator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite\nimagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.\nBased on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through \n2300 UTC.\n...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...\nThe monsoon trough extends from 09N13W to 07.5N17.5W. The ITCZ \nextends from 07.5N17.5W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate convection \nis noted from 03N to 14N between 20W and 37W.\n...GULF OF AMERICA...\nA stationary front extends from south Florida through the central\nGulf into south Texas. Farther south, a 1013 mb low is centered \nin the Bay of Campeche, and a trough extends eastward into the \nYucatan Peninsula. Earlier scatterometer satellite imagery \nindicated that moderate to locally fresh NE to SE winds were \noccurring across the basin, with locally strong E winds noted \noffshore of southeastern Texas. Seas of 3 to 5 ft are noted via \nbuoy data across much of the Gulf. \nFor the forecast, high pressure building southward toward the \nbasin will lead to increasing NE to E winds over the northern \nGulf. Low pressure may develop over the west-central or NW Gulf \nSun, and enhance winds to near gale-force over portions of the NW \nand north-central basin through Mon. Strong to near gale-force N \nwinds will also funnel down the NE coast of Mexico, including \noffshore Veracruz, for the start of next week. Fresh to strong NE \nto E winds are then likely to continue across the NE Gulf into the\nmiddle of next week as a tight pressure gradient prevails. Rough \nseas will build in association with these strong winds, and may \nimpact portions of the northern and western basin well into next \nweek.\n...CARIBBEAN SEA...\nModerate to fresh E to SE winds are occurring across the eastern \nCaribbean, generally east of 70W, as a tight pressure gradient \nprevails between low pressure over northern Colombia and a \nstationary front over the NW Caribbean Sea. Seas of 5 to 7 ft are \nnoted via buoy data in this region. The stationary front extends \nfrom central Cuba westward toward the Yucatan Strait, and moderate\nNE winds are occurring near this feature. Light to gentle winds \nand slight to moderate seas are noted elsewhere. \nFor the forecast, fresh to locally strong trades over the \nsoutheastern Caribbean today will transition to the south-central \nbasin Sun, then increase in speed starting Mon. Moderate to fresh \nnortheast to east winds will prevail over the northwestern \nCaribbean into Mon. \n...ATLANTIC OCEAN...\nA cold front extends from 31N62W southwestward to central Cuba, \nand a pre-frontal trough is noted to the east, where it is \nproducing scattered moderate to strong thunderstorms. Strong to \nnear-gale force winds and rough seas are noted N of 24N E of the \nfront to 55W. A secondary front extends from 31N68W to deep south \nFlorida. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas prevail \nwest of this front. Elsewhere W of 65W, moderate to fresh winds \nand moderate seas are noted. The remainder of the waters N of 10N \nare dominated by high pressure, anchored by a 1025 mb high \ncentered near 30N29W. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas are \nfound N of 25N and E of 43W. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate \nseas prevail elsewhere. \nFor the forecast west of 55W, a cold front extending from 31N62W \nto Cuba will be reinforced by a secondary front tonight, then \nreach from near 31N57W to just north of Hispaniola Sat. N of 25N, \nexpect strong SW winds and scattered thunderstorms ahead of the \nfront, with strong W to NW winds behind it. By Mon, the front will\nbegin to weaken over SE portions of the waters. High pressure \nbuilding southward toward the region will lead to a tightening \npressure gradient and increasing NE to E winds in the vicinity of \nthe Bahamas Mon, and these winds and associated rough seas will \nexpand in area, especially northward and eastward, through the \nmiddle of next week. \n", "title": "Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion", "id": "1227582671410692103", "issued": "2026-11-14T00:15:00Z", "wmo": "AXNT20", "source": "NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center, received via the National Weather Wire Service", "page": "https://hurricane.terrapin.com/text/1227582671410692103"}