{"msg": "881\nAXNT20 KNHC 132234\nTWDAT \nTropical Weather Discussion\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\n0015 UTC Sat Nov 14 2026\nTropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America\nGulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South\nAmerica, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the\nEquator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite\nimagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.\nBased on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through\n2215 UTC.\n...SPECIAL FEATURES...\nNorth-Central Atlantic Gale Warning: A strong cold front extends\nfrom near 31N71W to the northern Bahamas and to South Florida. \nStrong southwest winds are ahead of the front while fresh \nnorthwest winds are behind it. The front is expected to reach \nfrom near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning, and \nfrom near 31N55W to near the Windward Passage by Sun morning. \nGale-force southwest winds will develop late tonight into Sat \nmorning ahead of the front north of 29N. These gale winds are \nexpected to be short-lived as latest forecast has them ending at \n15Z. Seas with these winds are forecast to build to around 13 ft \non Sat. Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by \nthe National Hurricane Center at website \nhttps://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further \ndetails.\n...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...\nThe monsoon trough axis exits the coast of Africa near 12N17W,\nand continues southwestward to 09N20W, where it transitions to \nthe ITCZ to 07N30W to 06N40W and to near 05N50W. Scattered \nmoderate convection is within 120 nm south of the ITCZ between\n24W-29W, between 31W-35W and within 120 nm north of the ITCZ\nbetween 40W-45W.\n...GULF OF AMERICA...\nA cold front is analyzed from the Florida Keys to offshore \nVeracruz, Mexico. Mexico. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight \nto moderate seas are north of the front. Locally fresh winds and \nmoderate seas are off Veracruz in the far southwest Gulf. Light \nto gentle winds, and slight seas, prevail elsewhere. \nFor the forecast, the cold front will exit the basin tonight. \nModerate to fresh north winds will veer easterly into Sat as \nhigh pressure builds southward toward the region in the wake of \nthe front. These easterly winds will increase Sat night into \nSun, to strong over the northern Gulf ahead of the next cold \nfront that will move offshore Texas Sun night into Mon. Near \ngale-force winds are likely in the far northern Gulf ahead of \nthis cold front early next week. \n...CARIBBEAN SEA...\nFresh to strong winds, and moderate seas, prevail over the waters\neast of 76W. Light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate seas, \nare noted elsewhere. A surface trough extends from central Cuba \nto the Gulf of Honduras. Numerous moderate and scattered strong \nconvection is depicted along and east of the trough, also \nimpacting portions of central and eastern Cuba, and Jamaica. \nFor the forecast, fresh to strong trades over the eastern \nCaribbean will diminish Sat. A cold front will enter the NW \nwaters this evening. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds \nare expected behind this front over the northwestern Caribbean \nSat through Sun night. Trade winds are likely strengthen again \nover the south central Caribbean starting Mon. \n...ATLANTIC OCEAN...\nPlease see the Special Features section for information on\nupcoming gale conditions east of a cold front. \nA strong cold front extends from near 31N75W to the northern \nBahamas and to South Florida. Strong southwest winds are ahead of\nthe front impacting the Turks and Caicos and eastern Cuba while\nfresh northwest winds are behind it. Seas ahead of the front are\n7 to 11 ft and 5 to 7 ft behind it. A pre- frontal trough is \nanalyzed from near 31N67W to 27N75W to west- central Cuba. To \nits NW, a very active subtropical jet stream rounds the base of a\ndeepening broad upper-level trough. A series of upper \ndisturbances are riding along the jet stream branch and combining \nwith trough, which is resulting in numerous large clusters of \nnumerous moderate to strong convection east of the trough to near\n60W. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 24N to 30N \nbetween 54W and 60W. Over the central Atlantic, a trough is along\n48W from 17N to 25N. No significant convection is occurring with\nthis feature. A 1024 mb high center is north of the area at \n34N35W, with a broad ridge stretching southwestward to the \neastern portion of the Dominican Republic. Light to gentle winds\nare roughly over the waters north of about 24N between 35W and a\nline from 31N45W to 24N59W. Latest Ascat scatterometer data \nindicates a swath of fresh trades from 17N to 24N east of 50W, \nand also south of 15N east of the Windward Islands. Seas over \nthese waters are 5 to 7 ft in wind generated wave, with northeast\nswell merging with east to southeast swell. The latest Ascat \nscatterometer data also indicates gentle to moderate winds over \nthe remainder of the discussion waters along with mostly moderate\nseas.\nFor the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front is \nexpected to reach from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas\nby Sat morning, and from near 31N55W to near the Windward \nPassage by Sun morning. The frontal boundary should then stall \nand weaken into early next week. The pressure gradient between \nthe front and building Bermuda high pressure will tighten \nleading to increasing NE winds S of 27N and W of 65W Mon, and \nthese strong winds will expand northward Tue and Tue night. \n", "title": "Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion", "id": "1227289448609972231", "issued": "2026-11-13T00:15:00Z", "wmo": "AXNT20", "source": "NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center, received via the National Weather Wire Service", "page": "https://hurricane.terrapin.com/text/1227289448609972231"}