{"msg": "266\nAXNT20 KNHC 120925\nTWDAT \nTropical Weather Discussion\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\n1215 UTC Thu Nov 12 2026\nTropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America\nGulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South\nAmerica, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the\nEquator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite\nimagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.\nBased on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through \n0900 UTC.\n...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...\nThe monsoon trough exits the coast of Senegal near 13N17W and\nextends to 06N20W. The ITCZ extends from that point to coastal \nFrench Guiana near 04N52W. Isolated moderate convection is located\nfrom 07N-11N between 20W-53W. \n...GULF OF AMERICA...\nA 1014 mb low is at 28N96W along the north end of a pre-frontal\ntrough that reaches to 21N97W. While no significant winds are\nassociated with the trough, scattered moderate convection is \noccurring from 21N-28N between 92W-98W. Winds across the Gulf are\nmoderate or weaker with seas 1-4 ft.\nFor the forecast, a strong cold front will reach the Texas coast \ntomorrow morning, then sweep across the basin through tomorrow \nnight exiting the area early on Fri. A pre-frontal trough in the \nwestern Gulf will promote fresh to locally strong N to NW winds \nnear Tampico and Veracruz tomorrow and Fri. Elsewhere, moderate to\nlocally fresh N winds are expected in the wake of the cold front.\nHigh pressure will build southward into the region this weekend, \nwith increasing easterly winds as the high shifts eastward Sun. \nFresh to strong E winds are likely across portions of the northern\nGulf starting on Sun as the pressure gradient increases. Looking \nahead, a second cold front should move offshore the Texas coast \nMon morning. The strong E winds will shift to mostly the NE Gulf \nMon and Mon night as the front translates eastward across the \nGulf. \n...CARIBBEAN SEA...\nThe pressure gradient between the Bermuda High north of the region\nand a 1008 mb low near 10N74W is causing fresh to strong trades\nover the central Caribbean with seas 6-8 ft. Elsewhere winds are\nmoderate or weaker with seas 2-5 ft. A trough extends from 21N84W\nto 16N86W in the NW Caribbean. This is promoting scattered\nmoderate and isolated strong convection north of 14N west of 78W.\nFor the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the \ncentral and eastern Caribbean into Thu night, with mainly moderate\nwinds elsewhere. The pressure gradient will diminish starting Fri\nas a cold front approaches the Yucatan Channel, leading to a \nweakening of the trades. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are \nlikely behind this front over the northwestern Caribbean Sat and \nSun. Looking ahead, fresh to strong trades may become \nreestablished over the south central Caribbean early next week. \n...ATLANTIC OCEAN...\nA weak cold front extends from 31N76W to 27N81W along the Florida\npeninsula east coast with scattered moderate convection north of\n29N between 70W-73W. Winds ahead of the cold front are fresh to \nlocally strong with seas 4-6 ft. Two weak frontal boundaries \nextend across the subtropical north Atlantic - one from 26N66W to \n31N39W and one from 21N45W to 30N10W. the former is associated\nwith scattered moderate convection from 21N-25N between 60W-75W.\nThese fronts have diminished the typical pressure gradient across\nforecast waters, resulting the remainder of winds across the area\nbeing moderate or weaker. Seas are 8-11 ft north of 20N east of \n30W due to residual W swell. Elsewhere, seas are 3-7 ft.\nFor the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong SW winds ahead of a\nweak cold front off the NE Florida coast will diminish later \ntoday as the front dissipates. A new stronger cold front is \nexpected to move off the southeastern U.S. coast Thu night \naccompanied by fresh to strong winds on either side of it. The \nfront is expected to reach from near 31N66W to the SE Bahamas by \nSat morning, and from near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to \neastern Cuba by Sun morning. The cold front portion will shift \neast of 55W late Sun while the stationary portion weakens. On Sun,\nwinds will briefly diminish below fresh over forecast waters. \nLooking ahead, a building Bermuda High should increase NE winds up\nto fresh to strong south of 27N west of 65W. \n", "title": "Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion", "id": "1226850761385705474", "issued": "2026-11-12T12:15:00Z", "wmo": "AXNT20", "source": "NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center, received via the National Weather Wire Service", "page": "https://hurricane.terrapin.com/text/1226850761385705474"}