{"id": "1226840966994395138", "title": "Tropical Cyclone Discussion", "adv_date": "2026-11-12T09:00:00Z", "msg": "821\nWTPA44 PHFO 120835\nTCDCP4\n \nTropical Depression Pena Discussion Number  23\nNWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   CP042026\nIssued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\n1100 PM HST Wed Nov 11 2026\n\nDeep convection associated with Pena has collapsed over the past few\nhours, likely due to an increasingly dry mid-level environment.\nAlthough Pena is forecast to become a remnant low by 24 h, this\ntransition could occur sooner if deep convection fails to redevelop\nover the next several hours. The latest subjective and objective\nD-MINT and D-PRINT intensity estimates reflect this downward trend,\nwith values generally near 30 kt. Given these estimates and the lack\nof deep convection, the initial intensity is lowered to 30 kt. After\ntransitioning to a remnant low, Pena is expected to open into a\ntrough and dissipate by Friday evening.\n \nThe initial motion is estimated to be westward, or 270/14 kt. Track\nguidance remains tightly clustered over the next couple of days,\nshowing Pena continuing generally westward south of a strong low- to\nmid-level subtropical ridge. The latest NHC track forecast is\nvirtually unchanged from the previous prediction, while the\nintensity forecast has been lowered slightly to reflect the recent\ndeterioration in Pena's structure.\n \n \nFORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS\n \nINIT  12/0900Z  9.8N 172.0W   30 KT  35 MPH\n 12H  12/1800Z  9.9N 174.3W   30 KT  35 MPH\n 24H  13/0600Z 10.0N 177.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 36H  13/1800Z 10.2N 180.0E   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 48H  14/0600Z...DISSIPATED\n \n"}