{"msg": "837\nAXNT20 KNHC 072247\nTWDAT\nTropical Weather Discussion\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\n0015 UTC Sun Nov 8 2026\nTropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America\nGulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South\nAmerica, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the\nEquator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite\nimagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.\nBased on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through \n2300 UTC.\n...SPECIAL FEATURES...\nWestern Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1000 mb low pressure area, \nInvest AL94, is located near 26N60W, moving east- northeastward \nnear 7 kt. This non- tropical low pressure area is located several\nhundred miles south- southeast of Bermuda, and continues to \nproduce scattered to numerous heavy showers and thunderstorms from\n20N to 31N between 45W-60W. The low could still acquire some \nsubtropical characteristics through tonight before upper-level \nwinds increase on Sunday and begin to weaken the system. The low \nis forecast to move generally east-northeastward over the western \nand central subtropical Atlantic during the next couple of days. \nRecent satellite scatterometer data showed a broad band of near- \ngale to gale force NE to E winds of 30 to 40 kt occurring along \nand within 210 nm north of a stationary front that extends from\n27N63W to 29N59W to 24N37W. Recent altimeter and buoy data shows \nseas of 10 to 19 ft occurring within this band of winds. Gale- \nforce winds and very rough seas in excess of 12 ft are expected to\ncontinue to the north of this low center as it moves over parts \nof the central subtropical Atlantic through the weekend.\nPlease read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National \nHurricane Center at website: \nhttps://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html and the latest Tropical \nweather outlook at website: \nhttps://nhc.noaa.gov/text/TWOAT.html for more details.\n...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...\nThe monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and extends SW\nto 09N23W. The ITCZ extends from 07N24W to 07N37W, where it is\nbroken by a trough associated with an easterly wave, then resumes\nfrom 04N39W to 02N50W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring\nS of 11N between 22W and 45W, strongest near the easterly wave\ntrough.\n...GULF OF AMERICA...\nA cold front extends from near Fort Myers, Florida to the SW Gulf\nnear 23N91W then is stationary to 24N96W. Moderate to fresh N-NE \nwinds are spilling across the NE Gulf, and become moderate NE to E\nelsewhere north of the front. Gentle to moderate NE winds are \nalso over the Bay of Campeche offshore Yucatan. Seas are 3 to 5 ft\nNE portions and 3 ft or less elsewhere.\nFor the forecast, a frontal boundary from central Florida to the \nwest central Gulf will slowly shift southward across the remainder\nof the basin into early next week. Moderate to fresh winds will \nprevail behind the front. High pressure will build in the wake of \nthe front, with winds diminishing to gentle to moderate. Another \ncold front will move into the NW Gulf next Thursday, followed by \nfreshening winds and building seas.\n...CARIBBEAN SEA...\nAn elongated trough extends from the Gulf of Honduras to just \noffshore of NW Colombia, which is supporting scattered showers and\nisolated thunderstorms near and to the south of this feature, \nwith moderate to strong convection near the coasts of Nicaragua \nand Honduras. Across the eastern Caribbean moderate SE winds \nacross the Windward Islands turn and become SW to W across Puerto \nRico and the NE Caribbean. Moderate to fresh NE winds prevail in\nthe NW Caribbean, driven by the pressure gradient between the\naforementioned surface trough and high pressure over the US. Due \nto the weaker pressure gradient over the rest of the region, seas\nare 4 ft or less across the basin.\n \nFor the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will \nresult in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to \nmoderate seas, through early next week. Winds will strengthen over\nthe central Caribbean by Tuesday. \n...ATLANTIC OCEAN...\nPlease see the Special Features section for information on a Gale\nWarning and the potential for subtropical development of Invest \nAL94.\nAside from Invest AL94, a cold front extends from 31N21W to \n24N37W, then stalls to 29N59W and then to 27N63W. Scattered to \nnumerous heavy showers and thunderstorms are noted No f20N and E\nof 35W, as well as from 35W to 45W between 20N and 25N. Strong to\nnear gale- force SW winds are ahead of the front E of 35W, where \nseas are 10 to 14 ft, while fresh to strong NNW winds follow the \nfront E of 40W, where seas are 9 to 12 ft. South of Invest AL94, \nwinds are fresh to strong from the SW, extending south to 18N \nbetween 50W and 70W.\nFor the forecast west of 55W, a 1000 mb low pres centered near \n26N60.5W will move east-northeastward. An area of strong to gale-\nforce winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 17 ft, \nwill prevail north of the low, impacting the waters mainly north \nof about 27N and east of 60W through tonight. Elsewhere, a \nweakening cold front over the NW waters will dissipate by Sun. \n", "title": "Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion", "id": "1225592817810964483", "issued": "2026-11-07T00:15:00Z", "wmo": "AXNT20", "source": "NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center, received via the National Weather Wire Service", "page": "https://hurricane.terrapin.com/text/1225592817810964483"}