{"msg": "956\nAXNT20 KNHC 071015\nTWDAT \nTropical Weather Discussion\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\n1215 UTC Sat Nov 7 2026\nTropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America\nGulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South\nAmerica, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the\nEquator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite\nimagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.\nBased on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through \n1000 UTC.\n...SPECIAL FEATURES...\nWestern Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1002 mb low pressure area, \nInvest AL94, is located near 25.5N62.5W. This non-tropical low \npressure area located several hundred miles south-southeast of \nBermuda is producing disorganized heavy showers and thunderstorms\nN of 20N between 46W-61W. The low could still acquire some \nsubtropical characteristics through tonight before upper-level \nwinds increase on Sunday. The low is forecast to move generally \neastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic during \nthe next couple of days and become absorbed by a new non-tropical \nlow pressure system to its east early next week. Regardless, gale-\nforce winds are over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic \nand will continue through the weekend.\nPlease read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National \nHurricane Center at website: \nhttps://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html and the latest Tropical \nweather outlook at website: \nhttps://nhc.noaa.gov/text/TWOAT.html for more details.\n...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...\nThe monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and extends SW\nto 10N20W where it transitions to ITCZ, which then continues to \n07N50W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 01N to \n14N between 22W and 43W.\n...GULF OF AMERICA...\nA cold front extends from from St Petersburg to the NW Gulf. A \nreinforcing cold front extends from 30N84W to 28N87W. Moderate \nNNE winds follow the fronts. Moderate NE winds are also over the \nBay of Campeche offshore Yucatan. Slight seas to 3 ft are basin- \nwide.\nFor the forecast, the front will slowly shift across the basin \ninto early next week. Moderate to fresh winds will prevail behind \nthe front.\n...CARIBBEAN SEA...\nInvest6 AL94, south of Bermuda and E of the Bahamas, continue to \ndisrupt the trade wind flow across the Caribbean basin. Also, a\nbroad low of 1008 mb prevail over the Nicaragua offshore waters, \nwhich is supporting scattered showers and isolated tstms over the \nHonduras and Belize offshores. Similar convective activity is over\nthe E Caribbean E of a surface trough that extends across E \nPuerto Rico to 15N67W. A weak pressure gradient over the region \ndue to the aforementioned features is supporting moderate or \nweaker winds and slight seas to 3 ft basin-wide.\n \nFor the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will \nresult in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to \nmoderate seas, through early next week. Winds will strengthen over\nthe central Caribbean by Tuesday. \n...ATLANTIC OCEAN...\nPlease see the Special Features section for information on a Gale\nWarning and the potential for subtropical development of Invest \nAL94.\nAside from Invest AL94, a cold front extends from 31N28W to \n26N44W, then it stalls to 28N52W. A warm front continues from that\npoint to 30N62W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is ahead\nof the cold front to 18W. Strong to near gale- force SW winds are\nahead of the front while fresh to strong NNW winds follow it. \nRough seas of 8 to 12 ft are N of 23N between 25W and 50W. South \nof Invest AL94, winds are fresh to strong from the SW, extending \nsouth to 20N between 50W and 68W. \nFor the forecast west of 55W, Invest AL94 will drift slowly east-\nnortheastward. A second low may develop east of this low today. \nThe lows will merge over the eastern waters late in the weekend, \nthen shift east of the area by early next week. An area of strong \nto gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 16\nft, will prevail north of the lows, impacting the waters mainly \nnorth of about 27N and east of 65W through tonight. Elsewhere, a \nweakening cold front has entered the waters between Florida and \n75W. The front will dissipate by Sun.\n", "title": "Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion", "id": "1225445018799636483", "issued": "2026-11-07T12:15:00Z", "wmo": "AXNT20", "source": "NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center, received via the National Weather Wire Service", "page": "https://hurricane.terrapin.com/text/1225445018799636483"}