{"msg": "958\nAXPZ20 KNHC 070244\nTWDEP \nTropical Weather Discussion\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\n0405 UTC Sat Nov 7 2026\nTropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from\n03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and\nfrom the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following\ninformation is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,\nradar, and meteorological analysis.\nBased on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through\n0235 UTC.\n...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...\nThe monsoon trough extends from 10N86W to a 1007 mb low pres near\n10N88W to a 07N90W to a 1007 mb low pres near 10N117W to 08N125W.\nThe ITCZ stretches from 08N125W to beyond 08N140W. Scattered\nmoderate to isolated strong convection is observed from 04N to\n13N and east of 93W. Similar convection is noted from 05N to 15N\nand west of 109W.\n...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...\nA broad subtropical ridge centered west of California support\nmoderate to locally fresh northerly winds and seas of 7-10 ft.\nThe highest seas are found west of Guadalupe Island. Meanwhile,\nfresh to strong northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are present in\nthe Gulf of Tehuantepec. Moderate to locally strong NW winds and\nseas of 2-4 ft are occurring in the northern and central Gulf of\nCalifornia California. Lastly, moderate to fresh NW winds and\nmoderate seas are noted off Jalisco and Michoacan. Elsewhere,\nmoderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.\nFor the forecast, a strong high pressure building over NE Mexico\nwill support fresh to strong northerly winds and rough seas in \nthe Gulf of Tehuantepec through the middle of next week. Winds\nand seas will diminish by late next week. Meanwhile, a series of\npulses of moderate to large NW swell will continue to impact the\nBaja California waters into early next week, producing periods \nof rough seas up to 12 ft across the NW zones. Fresh to locally \nstrong northerly winds are also expected in the northern Gulf of \nCalifornia tonight through Sun morning.\n...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, \nAND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...\nA broad area of low pressure centered off Costa Rica continues to\nproduce a large area of showers and thunderstorms over the offshore\nwaters. These storms are also impacting areas from Nicaragua to \nPanama. Heavy rainfall may lead to life- threatening flash \nflooding and landslides. Please refer to your local weather \nagency and the International Desk at the Weather Prediction \nCenter for more details. Moderate to locally fresh cyclonic winds\nand moderate seas are noted north of 04N and east of 93W.\nElsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.\nFor the forecast, the environmental conditions impacting the \narea of low pressure located offshore of Central America will\nremain marginally conducive for further development through the \nweekend, but strong upper-level winds are forecast to end \nformation chances early next week. The formation chance over the\nnext 48 hours and through the next 7 days is low. Regardless of\ndevelopment, this system is expected to bring areas of heavy \nrain to portions of Central America through the weekend. Looking\nahead, fresh to locally strong winds will pulse in the Gulfs of\nPapagayo and Panama early next week.\n...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...\nA 1026 mb high pressure system centered north of the area\nsupports moderate to fresh NE-E winds and rough seas north of 10N\nand west of 110W. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh SE winds and seas\nof 6-8 ft are occurring south of 03N and east of 120W. Elsewhere,\nmoderate or lighter winds and seas of 6-8 ft prevail.\nFor the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the area,\nsupporting moderate to fresh trade winds and rough seas west of \n120W into early next week. Several pulses of NW swell will impact\nthe waters north of 10N through the next several days, with \nrough to very rough seas to 12 ft and greater expected across the\nnorthern waters. Cross-equatorial swell will continue to produce\nrough seas close to the equator, lingering into the middle of \nnext week. By midweek, strong winds and rough to very rough seas\nwill follow a cold front entering the NW waters, spreading \nsoutheastward over the next several days.\n", "title": "Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion", "id": "1225356282256162819", "issued": "2026-11-07T04:05:00Z", "wmo": "AXPZ20", "source": "NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center, received via the National Weather Wire Service", "page": "https://hurricane.terrapin.com/text/1225356282256162819"}