{"msg": "913\nAXPZ20 KNHC 061537\nTWDEP \nTropical Weather Discussion\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\n1605 UTC Fri Nov 6 2026\nTropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from\n03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and\nfrom the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following\ninformation is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,\nradar, and meteorological analysis.\nBased on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through\n1500 UTC.\n...SPECIAL FEATURES...\nHeavy Precipitation across Central America: Abundant tropical \nmoisture associated with the monsoonal circulation across the\nregion, and divergence aloft will continue to result in numerous\nshowers and scattered thunderstorms persisting across the\nregional waters N of 05N and E of 90W, and will affect parts of \nCentral America. The heaviest precipitation during the overnight\nand morning hours has occurred across portions of Panama, NW \nCosta Rica and coastal Nicaragua, and is expected to continue \ntoday across Nicaragua and Costa Rica. This overall weather \npattern will persist over the next few days. Heavy rainfall may \nlead to life- threatening flash flooding and landslides. Please \nrefer to your local weather agency and the International Desk at \nthe Weather Prediction Center for more details.\nLow pressure offshore Nicaragua: A broad area of low pressure\noffshore of Central America, associated with the weather pattern\ndescribed above,  is producing a disorganized area of scattered \nto numerous showers and thunderstorms. A tropical depression \ncould still form over the weekend while the low drifts slowly \noffshore. Upper- level winds should prevent further development \nafter the weekend. This system could bring areas of heavy rain to\nportions of Central America through the weekend. This system has\na medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 \nhours and 7 days. Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather\nOutlook at website:\nhttps://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOEP.shtml for more details.\n...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...\nThe monsoon trough extends from 09.5N74W to 11.5N89W to 10N109W\nto 08.5N126W. The ITCZ stretches from 08.5N126W to beyond 08.5N140W.\nNumerous moderate isolated strong convection is observed from 04N\nto 14N and east of 95W. Scattered moderate convection is noted \nsouth of 04N and east of 89W, south of 01N between 118W and 136W,\nand from 07N to 11.5N west of 125W.\n...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...\nA 1026 mb high pressure system near 33N135W extends a ridge southeastward\nto the Revillagigedo Islands, while elongated low pressure\nprevails across the Gulf of California and the Baja California \nPeninsula. Overnight satellite scatterometer data showed moderate\nnortherly winds across the offshore waters of Baja California,\nwith fresh winds across Bahia de Sebastian Vizcaino to near \nPunta Eugenia. Northwesterly swell is producing seas of 6-8 ft in\nthese waters, except to 9 ft NW and W of Isla Guadalupe. Gentle \nto moderate mainly northerly winds prevail inside the Gulf of \nCalifornia. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to \nmoderate seas in mixed SW and NW swell prevail.\nFor the forecast, a series of pulses of NW swell will continue \nto impact the Baja California waters into early next week, producing\nperiods of rough seas up to 12 ft across the NW zones. Meanwhile,\na tightening pressure gradient will result in fresh to strong \nnortherly winds and rough seas in the Gulf of Tehuantepec \nstarting this evening and continuing into early next week. Fresh \nto locally strong northerly winds are also forecast in the \nnorthern Gulf of California this weekend. \n...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, \nAND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...\nPlease see Special Features section above for information on low\npressure offshore Nicaragua that has potential for tropical \ndevelopment, and con tributing to the heavy rainfall threat over\nportions of Central America.\nA broad area of low pressure is centered over the waters of Central\nAmerica, offshore of Nicaragua and El Salvador. Abundant tropical\nmoisture is entrained in this monsoonal circulation, and is resulting\nin numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms across the regional\nwaters from the coastal waters of Colombia to El Salvador. This \nmorning, the strongest rainfall is affecting the near and offshore\nwaters of Nicaragua and NW Costa Rica, including coastal sections\nthere, y waters. Recent satellite scatterometer data showed\nmostly gentle to moderate cyclonic winds N of 10N, and gentle to\nmoderate SW to W winds south of 10N and into coastal Colombia.\nFresh SW winds were noted across the outer waters west of 88W. Seas\nare 4-7 ft in SW swell across these waters, except higher near\nthunderstorms. \nFor the forecast, aside from the low pressure area with tropical \ncyclone formation potential, gentle to moderate winds and moderate \nseas will prevail into early next week, as the low pressure\nmeanders offshore of Nicaragua and El Salvador through the\nweekend. Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh offshore of the \nGulf of Papagayo and in the Gulf of Panama early next week. Heavy\nrainfall remains the most significant impact across both the\nregional waters and land areas.\n...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...\nThe tight pressure gradient between the aforementioned subtropical\nridge centered north of the area and lower pressures in the deep\ntropics results in fresh to locally strong NE to E winds north \nof 10N and west of 120W. NW swell moving through these waters \nis producing seas of 8-12 ft, with the highest seas occurring \nnear 30N140W. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh SE winds and seas of \n6-8 ft are present in the waters south of the equator. Elsewhere,\nmoderate or lighter winds and seas of 6-8 ft are evident.\nFor the forecast, moderate to locally strong trades will prevail\nover the west-central waters through today, followed by moderate\nto fresh winds into early next week. Several pulses of NW swell \nwill impact the waters north of 10N through the next several \ndays, with rough to very rough seas to 12 ft and greater expected\nacross the northern waters. Cross- equatorial swell will \ncontinue to produce rough seas close to the equator over the next\nseveral days, possibly lingering into early next week.\n", "title": "Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion", "id": "1225225199767060483", "issued": "2026-11-06T16:05:00Z", "wmo": "AXPZ20", "source": "NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center, received via the National Weather Wire Service", "page": "https://hurricane.terrapin.com/text/1225225199767060483"}