{"msg": "188\nAXPZ20 KNHC 030839\nTWDEP \nTropical Weather Discussion\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\n1005 UTC Tue Nov 3 2026\nTropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from\n03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and\nfrom the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following\ninformation is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,\nradar, and meteorological analysis.\nBased on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through\n0830 UTC.\n...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...\nThe monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 09N121W to beyond \n09N140W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is \noccurring from 02N to 16N between 123W and 140W and south of 11N\neast of 100W. \n...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...\nFresh NW winds are present in the Gulf of California, where high\npressure is building toward the region. Seas in the gulf are 3 \nto 6 ft. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker, with moderate \nseas. \nFor the forecast, high pressure over the SW United States will \nsupport fresh NW winds over the Gulf of California today and \noffshore Baja California through Wed night. Large, long- period \nNW swell will impact the waters north of Cabo San Lazaro tonight\nthrough Thu. New large NW swell will reach the same waters \nbeginning Thu night. \n...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, \nAND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...\nSouth of the monsoon trough, S to SW winds have increased to\nmoderate to locally fresh W of 80W. Moderate gap winds continue\nin the Papagayo region. Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds prevail.\nModerate seas dominate the region. Scattered moderate and \nisolated strong convection is occurring south of 11N.\nFor the forecast, away from scattered showers and thunderstorms,\nquiescent winds and seas will prevail through the week.\n...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...\nA stalling cold front extends from 30N133W to 26N139W. Ahead of \nit, a weak 1021 mb high is centered near 29N126W. Behind the \nfront, moderate N winds are present. S of the high, extending to \nthe monsoon trough, moderate trades prevail. Along the monsoon \ntrough at 09N134W, a 1010 mb low center is producing fresh E \nwinds in its northern semicircle, along with scattered\nthunderstorms. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds prevail. Large \nNW swell is propagating into the region, with rough seas now \nextending south to 15N and E of 127W. Seas near 30N140W are \npeaking near 13 ft. Elsewhere, moderate seas prevail. \nFor the forecast, the front will become fully stationary today\nthen dissipate tonight. The associated NW swell will continue \nspreading into the region, bringing rough to very rough seas N of\n10N and W of 115W through mid-week, before being reinforced by \nnew swell starting Thu. Environmental conditions appear \ngenerally favorable for gradual development of the aforementioned\nlow pressure, and a tropical depression is likely to form during\nthe middle to latter portions of this week as it moves westward \nto west- northwestward around 10 kt, out of the Eastern Pacific\nbasin and into the Central Pacific basin. There is a low chance \nof tropical formation of this system over the next 48 hours and \nhigh chance over the next 7 days. Looking ahead, on Fri and Sat \ncombined NW and SE swell may produce 8-9 ft seas close to the \nequator. \n", "title": "Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion", "id": "1224293717214330883", "issued": "2026-11-03T10:05:00Z", "wmo": "AXPZ20", "source": "NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center, received via the National Weather Wire Service", "page": "https://hurricane.terrapin.com/text/1224293717214330883"}