{"msg": "090\nAXPZ20 KNHC 211506\nTWDEP \nTropical Weather Discussion\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\n1605 UTC Wed Oct 21 2026\nTropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from\n03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and\nfrom the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following\ninformation is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,\nradar, and meteorological analysis.\nBased on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through\n1500 UTC.\n...SPECIAL FEATURES...\nTropical Depression Twenty-Two is centered near 9.5N 99.3W at\n21/1500 UTC, moving west at 6 kt. Estimated minimum central\npressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with\ngusts to 40 kt. Seas are peaking near 11 ft. Scattered moderate\nto strong within 45 nm of center. Scattered moderate and isolated\nstrong elsewhere from 01N to 15N between 90W and 103W. The system\nis moving westward and a slow forward motion is expected with a \nturn towards the northwest and then north- northwest is forecast.\nThe system is forecast to reach tropical storm intensity by \ntonight, and hurricane intensity by Thu night. \nPlease read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National\nHurricane Center at website - \nhttps://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest \nTwenty-Two NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at \nwww.hurricanes.gov for more details. \nGulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between \nhigh pressure over Mexico and TD 22-E is funneling near- gale \nforce northerly gap winds into the Gulf of Tehuantepec, \naccompanied by rough seas. Winds will pulse to gale- force \ntonight and Thu night across the Gulf of Tehuantepec as TD 22-E \nfurther intensifies. \nPlease read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National\nHurricane Center at website \nhttps://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for further \ndetails.\n...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...\nThe monsoon trough extends from 11N86W to 11N95W to 04N109W. The\nITCZ extends from 04N109W to 06N130W to 05N140W. Scattered \nmoderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 00N to 08N \neast of 80W, and from 02N to 09N between 110W and 140W.\n...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...\nPlease see the Special Features section above for information on\nnewly formed Tropical Depression Twenty-Two-E and the gale \nwarning in the Gulf of Tehuantepec.\nAside from the Gulf of Tehuantepec and TS 22-E, light to gentle \nbreezes and moderate seas prevail, except for slight seas in the \nGulf of California. \nFor the forecast, newly formed Tropical Depression Twenty-Two-E \nis near 9.5N 99.3W at 8 AM PDT, and is moving west at 6 kt. \nMaximum sustained winds are 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt, and the \nminimum central pressure is 1005 mb. Twenty-Two will strengthen \nto a tropical storm near 9.4N 100.1W this evening, move to 9.7N \n101.1W Thu morning, strengthen to a hurricane near 10.2N 102.0W \nThu evening, 10.7N 102.6W Fri morning, 11.5N 103.2W Fri evening, \nand 12.5N 103.6W Sat morning. Twenty-Two will change little in \nintensity as it moves to near 14.2N 104.4W early Sun. The \npressure gradient between high pressure over Mexico and TD 22-E \nis funneling near- gale force northerly gap winds into the Gulf \nof Tehuantepec, accompanied by rough seas. Winds will pulse to \ngale- force tonight and Thu night across the Gulf of Tehuantepec \nas TD 22-E further intensifies. \n...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, \nAND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...\nGentle to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail across the\ndiscussion waters.\nFor the forecast, fresh winds will pulse nightly in the Papagayo\nregion. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas will prevail \nelsewhere. \n...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...\nSee Special Features section above for information on newly\nformed TD 22-E.\nElsewhere, a 1006 mb low pressure area is centered near 33N125W,\nwith associated cold front extending from 30N121W to 23N132W. \nFresh to strong NW winds and rough to very rough seas with \nmaximum wave heights to 16 ft follow the front. Gentle to \nmoderate winds and moderate seas in a mix of swell are noted \nelsewhere. \nFor the forecast, the front will dissipate through late Thu as \nit continues to moves westward, with winds and seas diminishing \nas they spread southward over the waters north of 15N and west of\n125W. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will persist \nelsewhere. Tropical Depression Twenty-Two is near 9.5N 99.3W at \n8 AM PDT, and is moving west at 6 kt. Maximum sustained winds are\n30 kt with gusts to 40 kt, and the minimum central pressure is \n1005 mb. Twenty-Two will strengthen to a tropical storm near 9.4N\n100.1W this evening, move to 9.7N 101.1W Thu morning, strengthen\nto a hurricane near 10.2N 102.0W Thu evening, 10.7N 102.6W Fri \nmorning, 11.5N 103.2W Fri evening, and 12.5N 103.6W Sat morning. \nTwenty-Two will change little in intensity as it moves to near \n14.2N 104.4W early Sun.\n", "title": "Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion", "id": "1220689184845758466", "issued": "2026-10-21T16:05:00Z", "wmo": "AXPZ20", "source": "NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center, received via the National Weather Wire Service", "page": "https://hurricane.terrapin.com/text/1220689184845758466"}