{"id": "1219873301848293378", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-18T18:00:00Z", "msg": "969\nWTPZ31 KNHC 181756\nTCPEP1\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Trudy Intermediate Advisory Number 21A\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212026\n1100 AM MST Sun Oct 18 2026\n \n...TRUDY PASSING SOUTHWEST OF CABO CORRIENTES...\n...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND\nWEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 1100 AM MST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION\n-----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...19.3N 106.8W\nABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO\nABOUT 165 MI...265 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n\nNone.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from Playa Perula to San Blas\n* Las Islas Marias\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are\nexpected somewhere within the warning area within 12 hours.\n \nInterests elsewhere in southwestern and west-central Mexico should\ncontinue to monitor the progress of Trudy.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 1100 AM MST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Trudy was located \nnear latitude 19.3 North, longitude 106.8 West. Trudy is moving \ntoward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A general northwestward \nmotion is expected today, followed by a turn toward the \nwest-northwest tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Trudy \nwill move away from the coast of mainland Mexico this afternoon and \nthen move south of Baja California Sur on Monday and Tuesday.\n \nReports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft \nindicate that maximum sustained winds are now near 100 mph      \n(155 km/h) with higher gusts.  Rapid weakening is expected to begin \ntonight, and Trudy could degenerate to a post-tropical low by \nTuesday night.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from\nthe center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105\nmiles (165 km).\n \nThe minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter \naircraft data is 974 mb (28.77 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Trudy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC\nand on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages.\n \nWIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the mainland\nMexico portion of the Tropical Storm Warning area during the next\nfew hours, and in Las Islas Marias this afternoon.\n \nRAINFALL: Through today, Trudy is expected to produce an additional\n2 to 6 inches with isolated storm totals around 12 inches along and\nnear the southwest Mexican coast in Jalisco. This rainfall may\nproduce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas\nalong steep terrain.\n \nElsewhere, Trudy\u2019s outer bands are expected to produce an additional\n1 to 2 inches with isolated higher totals around 4 inches along the\nsouthwest Mexican coast in northern Colima and southern Nayarit.\nThis rainfall may result in localized flash flooding, especially in\nareas along steep terrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Trudy,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge accompanied by damaging waves\nis likely in areas of onshore winds within the warning areas.\n \nSURF: Swells generated by Trudy are affecting portions of the coast\nof southwestern and west-central Mexico. These swells will cause\nlife-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult\nproducts from your local weather office.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext complete advisory at 200 PM MST.\n \n"}