{"id": "1219833275243036674", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-18T15:00:00Z", "msg": "206\nWTPZ31 KNHC 181432\nTCPEP1\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Trudy Advisory Number  21\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212026\n800 AM MST Sun Oct 18 2026\n \n...TRUDY EXPECTED TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO THIS \nAFTERNOON...\n...HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND \nWEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...19.1N 106.8W\nABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO\nABOUT 165 MI...265 KM W OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n\nThe Government of Mexico has changed the Hurricane Warning to a \nTropical Storm Warning for the coast of Mexico from Playa Perula to \nCabo Corrientes.\n\nThe Government of Mexico has discontinued all warnings south of \nPlaya Perula.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from Playa Perula to San Blas\n* Las Islas Marias\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are\nexpected somewhere within the warning area within 12 hours.\n \nInterests elsewhere in southwestern and west-central Mexico should\ncontinue to monitor the progress of Trudy.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor products \nissued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Trudy was located \nnear latitude 19.1 North, longitude 106.8 West. Trudy is moving \ntoward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A general northwestward \nmotion is expected today, followed by a turn toward the \nwest-northwest tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Trudy \nwill start moving away from the coast of mainland Mexico this \nafternoon and then move south of Baja California Sur on Monday and \nTuesday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher \ngusts. Rapid weakening is expected to begin tonight, and Trudy could \ndegenerate to a post-tropical low by Tuesday night.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the\ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles\n(165 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Trudy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC\nand on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages.\n \nWIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the mainland \nMexico portion of the Tropical Storm Warning area during the next \nfew hours, and in Las Islas Marias this afternoon.\n \nRAINFALL: Through today, Trudy is expected to produce an additional \n2 to 6 inches with isolated storm totals around 12 inches along and \nnear the southwest Mexican coast in Jalisco. This rainfall may \nproduce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas \nalong steep terrain.\n \nElsewhere, Trudy\u2019s outer bands are expected to produce an additional \n1 to 2 inches with isolated higher totals around 4 inches along the \nsouthwest Mexican coast in northern Colima and southern Nayarit. \nThis rainfall may result in localized flash flooding, especially in \nareas along steep terrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Trudy,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge accompanied by damaging waves\nis likely in areas of onshore winds within the warning areas.\n \nSURF: Swells generated by Trudy are affecting portions of the coast\nof southwestern and west-central Mexico. These swells will cause\nlife-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult\nproducts from your local weather office.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 1100 AM MST.\nNext complete advisory at 200 PM MST.\n \n"}