{"id": "1219766920266579970", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-18T09:00:00Z", "msg": "661\nWTPZ31 KNHC 180855\nTCPEP1\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Trudy Advisory Number  20\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212026\n200 AM MST Sun Oct 18 2026\n \n...TRUDY BRINGING HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS TO PORTIONS OF\nSOUTHWEST AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...18.6N 106.3W\nABOUT 135 MI...215 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nNone.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo northward to Cabo Corrientes\n \nA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from south of Manzanillo to Punta San Telmo\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from south of Manzanillo to Punta San Telmo\n* The coast of Mexico from north of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas\n* Las Islas Marias\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected\nsomewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life\nand property should be rushed to completion.\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible\nwithin the watch area, in this case within 12 hours.\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are\nexpected somewhere within the warning area within 12 hours.\n \nInterests elsewhere in southwestern and west-central Mexico should\ncontinue to monitor the progress of Trudy.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Trudy was located \nnear latitude 18.6 North, longitude 106.3 West. Trudy is moving \ntoward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A general northwestward \nmotion is expected today, followed by a turn toward the \nwest-northwest tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Trudy \nwill remain near the coast of southwestern and west-central Mexico \nthrough this evening and then move south of Baja California \nSur on Monday and Tuesday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) \nwith higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected this \nmorning, but rapid weakening is forecast to begin by tonight.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the\ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles\n(165 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Trudy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC\nand on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages.\n \nWIND: Hurricane conditions, especially in gusts, are likely in the \nHurricane Warning area this morning. Tropical storm conditions are \nexpected within the mainland Mexico portion of the Tropical Storm \nWarning area this morning, and in the Islas Marias this afternoon. \nHurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch area this \nmorning.\n \nRAINFALL: Through the weekend, Trudy is expected to produce 4 to 8\ninches with isolated higher totals around 12 inches along and near\nthe southwest Mexican coast in Michoac\u00e1n, Colima and Jalisco. This\nrainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides,\nespecially in areas along steep terrain.\n \nElsewhere, Trudy\u2019s outer bands are expected to produce 2 to 4 inch\namounts with isolated higher totals around 6 inches along the\nsouthwest Mexican coast in Guerrero and Nayarit. This rainfall may\nresult in localized flash flooding, especially in areas along steep\nterrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Trudy,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge accompanied by damaging waves\nis likely in areas of onshore winds within the warning areas.\n \nSURF: Swells generated by Trudy are affecting portions of the coast\nof southwestern and west-central Mexico. These swells will cause\nlife-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult\nproducts from your local weather office.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 500 AM MST.\nNext complete advisory at 800 AM MST.\n \n"}