{"id": "1219624941574062082", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-17T21:00:00Z", "msg": "964\nWTPZ31 KNHC 172053\nTCPEP1\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Trudy Advisory Number  18\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212026\n300 PM CST Sat Oct 17 2026\n \n...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THAT TRUDY IS A LITTLE\nSTRONGER...\n...FORECAST TO PASS NEAR THE COAST OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO TONIGHT\nAND SUNDAY...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...17.5N 105.0W\nABOUT 115 MI...180 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nABOUT 205 MI...330 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nThe Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for\nLas Islas Marias.\n \nThe Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm\nWarning for the coast of Mexico south of Lazaro Cardenas.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo northward to Cabo Corrientes\n \nA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from south of Manzanillo to Punta San Telmo\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from south of Manzanillo to Lazaro Cardenas\n* The coast of Mexico from north of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas\n* Las Islas Marias\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected\nsomewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life\nand property should be rushed to completion.\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible\nwithin the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are\nexpected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.\n \nInterests elsewhere in southwestern and west-central Mexico should\ncontinue to monitor the progress of Trudy.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Trudy was located\nnear latitude 17.5 North, longitude 105.0 West. Trudy is moving\ntoward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A general northwestward \nto north-northwestward motion is expected through Sunday, followed \nby a turn toward the west-northwest Sunday night. On the forecast \ntrack, the center of Trudy will approach the coast of southwestern \nand west-central Mexico this afternoon and pass near the coast \ntonight and Sunday.\n \nReports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft \nindicate that maximum sustained winds are now near 100 mph (155 \nkm/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible \ntonight. Weakening is expected to begin late Sunday or Sunday night.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the\ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles\n(220 km).\n \nThe minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter \naircraft data is 976 mb (28.82 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Trudy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC\nand on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages.\n \nWIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning\narea by tonight, with tropical storm conditions spreading across the\narea this afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are expected within\nthe mainland Mexico portion of the Tropical Storm Warning area this\nafternoon and tonight, and in the Islas Marias on Sunday and Sunday\nnight. Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch\narea tonight.\n \nRAINFALL: Trudy is expected to produce 4 to 8 inches with isolated\nhigher totals around 12 inches along and near the southwest Mexican\ncoast in Michoac\u00e1n, Colima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce\nlife-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along\nsteep terrain.\n \nElsewhere, Trudy\u2019s outer bands are expected to produce 2 to 4 inch \ntotals with isolated higher totals around 6 inches along the \nsouthwest Mexican coast in Guerrero and Nayarit. This rainfall may \nresult in localized flash flooding, especially in areas along steep \nterrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Trudy,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge accompanied by damaging waves\nis likely in areas of onshore winds within the warning areas. \n \nSURF: Swells generated by Trudy are affecting portions of the coast\nof southwestern Mexico and will spread northward toward west-central\nMexico. These swells will cause life-threatening surf and rip\ncurrent conditions. Please consult products from your local weather\noffice.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 600 PM CST.\nNext complete advisory at 900 PM CST.\n \n"}