{"id": "1219409607107182594", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-17T03:00:00Z", "msg": "426\nWTPZ31 KNHC 170237\nTCPEP1\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Trudy Advisory Number  15\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212026\n900 PM CST Fri Oct 16 2026\n \n...TRUDY STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY...\n...TRUDY FORECAST TO APPROACH THE SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL\nCOAST OF MEXICO THIS WEEKEND...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...15.2N 102.5W\nABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO\nABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nThe Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Las\nIslas Marias.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo northward to Cabo Corrientes\n \nA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from south of Manzanillo to Punta San Telmo\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from south of Manzanillo to Zihuatanejo\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico north of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas\n* Las Islas Marias\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected\nsomewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36\nhours before the anticipated first occurrence of\ntropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside\npreparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life\nand property should be rushed to completion.\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible\nwithin the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before\nthe anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds,\nconditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are\nexpected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are\npossible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.\n \nInterests elsewhere in southwestern and west-central Mexico should\ncontinue monitor the progress of Trudy. Additional watches or\nwarnings will likely be required tonight or early Saturday.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Trudy was located\nnear latitude 15.2 North, longitude 102.5 West. Trudy is moving\ntoward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the \nnorth-northwest and then northwest at a faster forward speed is \nexpected overnight and into Saturday. This general motion is \nforecast to continue through Sunday. On the forecast track, the \ncenter of Trudy will approach the coast of southwestern and \nwest-central Mexico on Saturday and pass near the coast Saturday \nnight into Sunday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) \nwith higher gusts. Steady strengthening is possible through \nSaturday.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the\ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles\n(220 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Trudy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC\nand on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages.\n \nWIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning\narea by late Saturday or Saturday night, with tropical storm\nconditions spreading across the area on Saturday. Tropical storm\nconditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area by\nlate tonight or early Saturday. Hurricane conditions are possible in\nthe Hurricane Watch area by late Saturday, with tropical storm\nconditions beginning on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are\npossible in the Tropical Storm Watch area on Sunday.\n \nRAINFALL: Through the weekend, Trudy is expected to produce 4 to 8\ninches with isolated higher totals around 15 inches along and near\nthe southwest Mexican coast in Michoac\u00e1n, Colima and Jalisco. This\nrainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides,\nespecially in areas along steep terrain.\n \nElsewhere, Trudy\u2019s outer bands are expected to produce 2 to 4 inches\nwith isolated higher totals around 6 inches along the southwest\nMexican coast in Guerrero and Nayarit. This rainfall may result in\nlocalized flash flooding through the weekend, especially in areas\nalong steep terrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Trudy,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE: Coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas\nof onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by\nlarge and destructive waves.\n \nSURF: Swells generated by Trudy are affecting portions of the coast\nof southwestern Mexico and will spread northward toward west-central\nMexico through the weekend. These swells will cause life-threatening \nsurf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your \nlocal weather office.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 1200 AM CST.\nNext complete advisory at 300 AM CST.\n \n"}