{"id": "1219305486641954818", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-16T18:00:00Z", "msg": "408\nWTPZ31 KNHC 161748\nTCPEP1\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Trudy Intermediate Advisory Number 13A\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212026\n1200 PM CST Fri Oct 16 2026\n \n...SATELLITE WIND DATA SHOWS TRUDY IS WEAKER THAN INDICATED \nPREVIOUSLY...\n...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT ABOUT TO INVESTIGATE THE HURRICANE...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION\n-----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...14.7N 102.5W\nABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO\nABOUT 320 MI...515 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nNone.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo northward to Playa Perula\n \nA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico north of Playa Perula to Cabo Corrientes\n* The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo southward to Punta San Telmo\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo southward to Zihuatanejo\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico north of Cabo Corrientes to San Blas\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected\nsomewhere within the warning area.  A warning is typically issued\n36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of\ntropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside\npreparations difficult or dangerous.  Preparations to protect life\nand property should be rushed to completion.\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible\nwithin the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before\nthe anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds,\nconditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are\nexpected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are\npossible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.\n \nInterests elsewhere in southwestern and west-central Mexico should\ncontinue monitor the progress of Trudy. Additional watches or\nwarnings will likely be required later today or tonight.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 1200 PM CST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Trudy was located\nnear latitude 14.7 North, longitude 102.5 West. Trudy is moving\ntoward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A north- \nnorthwestward to northwestward motion at a slightly faster forward \nspeed is forecast during the next few days. On the forecast track, \nthe center of Trudy will approach the coast of southwestern and \nwest-central Mexico on Saturday and pass near the coast Saturday \nnight into Sunday.\n \nRecent satellite wind data shows that Trudy is not as strong \nas indicated in the previous advisory. Maximum sustained winds are \nnear 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher gusts.  Some strengthening \ncould occur through Saturday, and Trudy is forecast to be a major \nhurricane when it makes its closest approach to Mexico. Weakening is \npredicted later this weekend and into early next week. An Air Force \nReserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently approaching Trudy.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from\nthe center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140\nmiles (220 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Trudy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC\nand on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages.\n \nWIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning\narea by late Saturday or Saturday night, with tropical storm\nconditions spreading across the area on Saturday. Tropical storm\nconditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area by\nlate tonight or early Saturday. Hurricane conditions are possible in\nthe Hurricane Watch area by late Saturday, with tropical storm\nconditions beginning on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are\npossible in the Tropical Storm Watch area on Sunday.\n \nRAINFALL: Through the weekend, Trudy is expected to produce 4 to 8\ninches with isolated higher totals around 15 inches along and near\nthe southwest Mexican coast in Michoac\u00e1n, Colima and Jalisco. This\nrainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides,\nespecially in areas along steep terrain.\n \nElsewhere, Trudy\u2019s outer bands are expected to produce 2 to 4 inch\nwith isolated higher totals around 6 inches along the southwest\nMexican coast in Guerrero. This rainfall may result in localized\nflash flooding through the weekend, especially in areas along steep\nterrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Trudy,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE: Coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas\nof onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by\nlarge and destructive waves.\n \nSURF: Swells generated by Trudy are affecting portions of the coast\nof southwestern Mexico and will spread northward toward west-central\nMexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause\nlife-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult\nproducts from your local weather office.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext complete advisory at 300 PM CST.\n \n"}