{"id": "1219199920170532866", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-16T09:00:00Z", "msg": "579\nWTPZ31 KNHC 160851\nTCPEP1\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Trudy Advisory Number  12\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212026\n300 AM CST Fri Oct 16 2026\n \n...MAJOR HURRICANE TRUDY FORECAST TO APPROACH THE SOUTHWESTERN AND\nWEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO THIS WEEKEND...\n...TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...14.2N 102.4W\nABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO\nABOUT 355 MI...570 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nThe government of Mexico has extended the Tropical Storm Warning\nnorthward from Punta San Telmo to Manzanillo.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico north of Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from Manzanillo southward to Zihuatanejo\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible\nwithin the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before\nthe anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds,\nconditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are\nexpected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.\n \nInterests elsewhere in southwestern and west-central Mexico should\ncontinue monitor the progress of Trudy. Additional watches or\nwarnings will likely be required later today.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Trudy was located \nnear latitude 14.2 North, longitude 102.4 West. Trudy is moving \ntoward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A north-northwestward to \nnorthwestward motion at a slightly faster forward speed is forecast \nduring the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Trudy \nwill approach the coast of southwestern and west-central Mexico on \nSaturday and pass near the coast Saturday night into Sunday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher \ngusts. Trudy is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson \nHurricane Wind Scale. Additional strengthening is expected through \nSaturday, and Trudy is forecast to remain a major hurricane when it \nmakes its closest approach to Mexico. Some weakening is predicted \nlater this weekend and into early next week.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the\ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles\n(220 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb (28.23 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Trudy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC\nand on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages.\n \nWIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical\nstorm warning area by late tonight or early Saturday. Hurricane\nconditions are possible in the hurricane watch area by late\nSaturday, with tropical storm conditions beginning on Saturday.\n \nRAINFALL: Through the weekend, Trudy is expected to produce 4 to 8\ninches with isolated higher totals around 12 inches along and near\nthe southwest coast of Mexico in Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco.\nThis rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides,\nespecially in areas along steep terrain.\n \nElsewhere, Trudy\u2019s outer bands are expected to produce 2 to 4 inch\nwith isolated higher totals around 6 inches along the southwest\ncoast of Mexico in Guerrero. This rainfall may result in localized\nflash flooding through the weekend, especially in areas along steep\nterrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Trudy,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE: Coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas\nof onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by\nlarge and destructive waves.\n \nSURF: Swells generated by Trudy are affecting portions of the coast\nof southwestern Mexico and will spread northward toward west-central\nMexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause\nlife-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult\nproducts from your local weather office.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 600 AM CST.\nNext complete advisory at 900 AM CST.\n \n"}