{"id": "1219163805276569602", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-16T06:00:00Z", "msg": "981\nWTPZ31 KNHC 160547\nTCPEP1\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Trudy Intermediate Advisory Number 11A\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212026\n1200 AM CST Fri Oct 16 2026\n \n...TRUDY RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 1200 AM CST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION\n-----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...14.0N 102.4W\nABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO\nABOUT 365 MI...590 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nNone.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico north of Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from Punta San Telmo southward to Zihuatanejo\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible \nwithin the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before \nthe anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, \nconditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are\nexpected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.\n \nInterests elsewhere in southwestern and west-central Mexico should \ncontinue monitor the progress of Trudy. Additional watches or \nwarnings will likely be required later today.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 1200 AM CST (0600 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Trudy was located \nnear latitude 14.0 North, longitude 102.4 West. Trudy is moving \ntoward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A north-northwestward \nmotion is expected today, followed by a turn toward the northwest \ntonight or Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Trudy will \napproach the coast of southwestern and west-central Mexico on \nSaturday and Saturday night.\n \nMaximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h) \nwith higher gusts. Trudy is a category 3 hurricane on the \nSaffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional strengthening is \nforecast during the next day or two.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from\nthe center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105\nmiles (165 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 957 mb (28.26 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Trudy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC\nand on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages.\n \nWIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical \nstorm warning area by early Saturday. Hurricane conditions are \npossible in the hurricane watch area by Saturday night, with \ntropical storm conditions beginning on Saturday.\n \nRAINFALL: Through the weekend, Trudy is expected to produce 4 to 8 \ninches with isolated higher totals around 12 inches through the \nweekend along and near the coast of southwest Mexico in Michoacan, \nColima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening \nflooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain.\n \nElsewhere, Trudy\u2019s outer bands are expected to produce 2 to 4 inches \nwith isolated higher totals around 6 inches along the southwest \ncoast of Mexico in Guerrero. This rainfall may result in localized \nflash flooding through the weekend, especially in areas along steep \nterrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Trudy,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE: Coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas\nof onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by\nlarge and destructive waves.\n \nSURF: Swells generated by Trudy will affect portions of the coast of\nsouthwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few days. These\nswells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current\nconditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext complete advisory at 300 AM CST.\n \n"}