{"id": "1219128212616511490", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-16T03:00:00Z", "msg": "655\nWTPZ31 KNHC 160246\nTCPEP1\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Trudy Advisory Number  11\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212026\n900 PM CST Thu Oct 15 2026\n \n...TRUDY STRENGTHENS...\n...EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...14.3N 102.1W\nABOUT 230 MI...375 KM SW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO\nABOUT 355 MI...570 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nThe Government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch for the coast\nof Mexico from Playa Perula northward to Cabo Corrientes.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico north of Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...\n* The coast of Mexico from Punta San Telmo southward to Zihuatanejo\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible\nwithin the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours\nbefore the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force\nwinds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or\ndangerous.\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are\nexpected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.\n \nInterests elsewhere in southwestern and west-central Mexico should\ncontinue monitor the progress of Trudy. Additional watches or\nwarnings will likely be required for portions of these areas later\non Friday.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Trudy was located \nnear latitude 14.3 North, longitude 102.1 West. Trudy is moving \ntoward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). This motion is \nexpected to continue through Friday, followed by a turn toward the \nnorthwest Friday night or Saturday. On the forecast track, the \ncenter of Trudy will approach the coast of southwestern and \nwest-central Mexico on Saturday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) \nwith higher gusts. Rapid intensification is forecast, and Trudy is \nexpected to become a major hurricane on Friday.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the\ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles\n(165 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Trudy can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC\nand on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?key_messages.\n \nWIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the tropical \nstorm warning area by early Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are \nexpected to spread into the hurricane watch area on Saturday.\n \nRAINFALL: Through the weekend, Trudy is expected to produce 4 to 8 \ninches with isolated higher totals around 12 inches through the \nweekend along and near the southwest Mexican coast in Michoac\u00e1n, \nColima and Jalisco. This rainfall may produce life-threatening \nflooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep terrain.\n\nElsewhere, Trudy\u2019s outer bands are expected to produce 2 to 4 \ninches with isolated higher totals around 6 inches along the \nsouthwest Mexican coast in Guerrero. This rainfall may result in \nlocalized flash flooding through the weekend, especially in areas \nalong steep terrain.\n\nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Trudy, \nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic \navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE: Coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas\nof onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by\nlarge and destructive waves.\n \nSURF: Swells generated by Trudy will affect portions of the coast of \nsouthwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few days. These \nswells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current \nconditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 1200 AM CST.\nNext complete advisory at 300 AM CST.\n \n"}