{"id": "1218067920206331907", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-12T09:00:00Z", "msg": "625\nWTPZ35 KNHC 120853\nTCPEP5\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Simon Advisory Number  20\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026\n200 AM MST Mon Oct 12 2026\n \n...SIMON DRIFTING NORTHWEST...\n...DANGEROUS WINDS AND FLOODING RAINS CONTINUE ALONG\nTHE COAST...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...20.0N 106.3W\nABOUT 145 MI...235 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nABOUT 50 MI...75 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nNone.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* Playa Perula to El Roblito\n* Las Islas Marias\n \nA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...\n* North of El Roblito to Bahia Tempehuaya\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected\nsomewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life\nand property should be rushed to completion.\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible\nwithin the watch area within 48 hours.\n\nInterests elsewhere in west-central Mexico should continue to \nmonitor as changes to watches and warnings are possible later today.\n\nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Simon was located \nnear latitude 20.0 North, longitude 106.3 West. Simon is moving \ntoward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general motion \nis expected to continue into early Tuesday. A gradual turn toward \nthe northeast is forecast thereafter, and Simon is expected to move \ninland across west-central Mexico around midweek.\n \nMaximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher \ngusts.  Simon is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson \nHurricane Wind Scale. Slow weakening is forecast to continue, \nhowever Simon is expected to remain a hurricane through midweek. \nRapid weakening is likely after Simon moves inland.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the\ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles\n(95 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 958 mb (28.29 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC.\n \nWIND: Hurricane conditions are likely occuring in the Hurricane\nWarning area, with hurricane conditions spreading northward today \ninto Monday. Hurricane conditions are possible within the\nwatch area by Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions possible by\nTuesday night.\n \nRAINFALL: Simon is expected to produce additional rainfall totals of \n2 to 4 inches across coastal portions of southwest and west-central \nMexico with isolated additional amounts of 6 to 8 inches over \nportions of the state of Jalisco into the early portion of the week \nand the state of Sinaloa mainly Wednesday and Thursday.  Isolated \nmaximum storm totals of 30 inches are possible over portions of the \nstates of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco.  This rainfall will \nproduce life-threatening flooding and mudslides or worsen any \non-going flooding, especially in areas of steep terrain.\n\nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon, \nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic \navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected along the immediate\ncoast near and to the east of where the center approaches land. Near\nthe coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive\nwaves.\n \nSURF:  Swells generated by Simon will affect portions of the coast\nof southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few days.\nThese swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip\ncurrent conditions. Please consult products from your local weather\noffice.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 500 AM MST.\nNext complete advisory at 800 AM MST.\n \n"}