{"id": "1217996144102309891", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-12T03:00:00Z", "msg": "973\nWTPZ35 KNHC 120248\nTCPEP5\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Simon Advisory Number  19\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026\n800 PM MST Sun Oct 11 2026\n \n...SIMON MOVING SLOWLY JUST OFFSHORE OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...\n...THREAT OF DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND FLOODING RAINS CONTINUES ALONG\nTHE COAST...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...19.8N 106.0W\nABOUT 125 MI...200 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nThe government of Mexico has discontinued the Hurricane Warning\nfrom Punta San Telmo northward to Playa Perula.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* Playa Perula to El Roblito\n* Las Islas Marias\n \nA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...\n* North of El Roblito to Bahia Tempehuaya\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected\nsomewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life\nand property should be rushed to completion.\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible\nwithin the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours\nbefore the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force\nwinds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or\ndangerous.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Simon was located \nnear latitude 19.8 North, longitude 106.0 West. Simon is moving \ntoward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and this general heading \nis expected to continue into early Tuesday. A turn toward the \nnortheast is forecast thereafter, and Simon is expected to move \ninland across west-central Mexico around midweek. \n \nMaximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher \ngusts. Simon is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson \nHurricane Wind Scale. Slow weakening is forecast, but Simon is \nexpected to remain a hurricane through midweek. Rapid weakening is \nlikely after Simon moves inland. \n\nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the\ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles\n(95 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 956 mb (28.23 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC.\n \nWIND: Hurricane conditions are likely occuring in the Hurricane\nWarning area, with hurricane conditions spreading northward later\ntonight into Monday. Hurricane conditions are possible within the \nwatch area by Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions possible by \nTuesday night.\n \nRAINFALL: Simon is expected to produce additional rainfall totals of\n2 to 4 inches with isolated additional amounts of 8 inches over\nportions of the states of Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit and Sinaloa\nthrough early Thursday. Isolated maximum storm totals of 30 inches\nare possible over portions of the states of Michoacan, Colima, and\nJalisco. This rainfall will produce life-threatening flooding and\nmudslides or worsen any on-going flooding, especially in areas of\nsteep terrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected along the immediate\ncoast near and to the east of where the center approaches land. Near\nthe coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive\nwaves.\n \nSURF:  Swells generated by Simon will affect portions of the coast\nof southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few days.\nThese swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip\ncurrent conditions. Please consult products from your local weather\noffice.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 1100 PM MST.\nNext complete advisory at 200 AM MST.\n \n"}