{"id": "1217717542542835715", "title": "Hurricane Local Statement", "adv_date": "2026-10-11T03:11:00Z", "wmo": "HLSSGX", "msg": "637\nWTUS86 KSGX 110311\nHLSSGX\nCAZ043-050-058-062-111115-\n\nPost-Tropical Cyclone Rachel Local Statement Advisory Number 56\nNational Weather Service San Diego CA  EP182026\n811 PM PDT Sat Oct 10 2026\n\nThis product covers EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA\n\n**Impacts from Post-Tropical Cyclone Rachel Expected in San Diego\n County Late Tonight through Early Sunday Afternoon** \n\nNEW INFORMATION\n---------------\n\n* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:\n    - None\n\n* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:\n    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for San Diego County \n      Coastal Areas, San Diego County Deserts, San Diego County \n      Mountains, and San Diego County Valleys\n\n* STORM INFORMATION:\n    - About 240 miles south-southeast of San Mateo Point CA or about \n      180 miles south-southeast of Mouth of Tijuana River CA\n    - 30.0N 116.5W\n    - Storm Intensity 60 mph\n    - Movement North-northeast or 15 degrees at 36 mph\n\nSITUATION OVERVIEW\n------------------\n\nImpacts from Post-Tropical Cyclone Rachel Expected in San Diego County\nLate Tonight through Early Sunday Afternoon.\n\nPost-Tropical Cyclone Rachel is currently about 190 miles south of San\nDiego, moving north-northeast towards Northern Baja at about 36 mph.\nRachel is expected to make landfall south of the US/Mexico Border\ntonight. Though Rachel no longer has tropical characteristics,\ntropical storm level impacts will likely affect San Diego County. A\nTropical Storm Watch remains in effect for all of San Diego County.\nThe main concerns with Tropical Storm Rachel are coastal flooding,\nwind, and periods of heavy rain which could lead to localized flooding\nand flash flooding. The majority of impacts from the tropical storm\nare expected late tonight through early Sunday afternoon. \n\nSouth swell from Post-Tropical Cyclone Rachel will arrive on Sunday.\nThe combination of south and northwest swells, increased onshore\nwinds, and high tides over 7 feet will maintain a threat of coastal\nflooding and beach erosion along area beaches. Surf on Sunday is\ncurrently expected to peak at 6 to 9 feet, decreasing to 3 to 6 feet\nfor Monday and Tuesday. Confidence in impactful coastal flooding is\nhigh, with significant coastal flooding and beach erosion likely. \n\nWidespread rain is expected late tonight into late Sunday morning from\nPost-Tropical Cyclone Rachel. There is expected to be a gradient in\nrainfall amounts with the higher amounts over San Diego County, the\nmountains, and parts of the low desert. Peak rainfall rates of 0.50 to\n0.60 inches are possible for the coast and valleys, 0.50 to\n0.70 inches per hour possible for the deserts, and 0.70 to 1 inch per\nhour for the mountains. Current forecast has rainfall totals of\n0.50 to 1.25 inches for the coast, valleys, and deserts and 1 to\n2.5 inches for the mountains. Areas of flash and urban flooding are\nprobable, especially where the maximum rainfall rates occur. The San\nDiego River at Fashion Valley is currently forecast to crest at\n8.1 feet (action/monitor stage) just before noon on Sunday. Those with\ninterests near the San Diego River should continue to monitor the\nforecast. \n\nIncreased winds are expected with the onset and passage of\nPost-Tropical Cyclone Rachel. Sustained winds of 39+ mph are expected\non the southeast side of the storm. Based on the current track, more\nsouthern and eastern parts of San Diego County are most likely to see\nwinds of this magnitude. Regardless, strong sustained winds and wind\ngusts can be expected on Sunday. Winds will likely be enhanced by\nlocal terrain with gusts 40 to 55 mph on the desert slopes of the\nmountains and into the deserts. Local gusts up to 60 mph possible on\nmountain ridges and in passes and canyons. Winds are expected to\nremain elevated in Rachel's wake with continued strong gusts on the\ndesert mountain slopes into the deserts through Monday morning.\n\nPOTENTIAL IMPACTS\n-----------------\n\n* WIND:\nPrepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across \nEXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA. Potential impacts in this area \ninclude:\n    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored \n      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.\n    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or \n      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are \n      shallow rooted, especially in coastal and valley locations that \n      don't typically experience strong winds. Some fences and \n      roadway signs blown over.\n    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban \n      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on \n      bridges and other elevated roadways.\n    - Scattered power and communications outages.\n\nElsewhere across EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA, little to no impact \nis anticipated.\n\n\n* FLOODING RAIN:\nPrepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible \nextensive impacts across San Diego County. Potential impacts include:\n    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.\n    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in \n      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and \n      ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas, \n      destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while \n      increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood \n      control systems and barriers may become stressed.\n    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple \n      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed \n      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. \n      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with \n      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. \n      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.\n\nPrepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant \nimpacts across San Diego County.\n\n* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:\n- High tides over 7 ft, combined with high surf and gusty onshore\n   winds will increase the threat for coastal flooding across area\n   beaches. Additionally surf of 6 to 9 ft will create dangerous swimming\n   conditions. Significant coastal flooding and beach erosion is \n   likely. \n\n\nPRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS\n----------------------------------\n\n* EVACUATIONS:\nFollow the advice of local officials.\n\n* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:\nIf you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as \nnear the ocean, in a low-lying or poor drainage area, in a valley, or \nnear a river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground.\n\nAlways heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that \nare issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of \nothers.\n\nClosely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news \noutlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes \nto the forecast.\n\n* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:\n- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov\n- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org\n- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org\n\nNEXT UPDATE\n-----------\n\nThe next local statement will be issued by the National Weather \nService in San Diego CA around 2 AM PDT, or sooner if conditions \nwarrant.\n\n"}