{"id": "1217608851762741255", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-10T18:00:00Z", "msg": "108\nWTPZ35 KNHC 101758\nTCPEP5\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Simon Intermediate Advisory Number 13A\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026\n1200 PM CST Sat Oct 10 2026\n \n...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS INVESTIGATING CATEGORY 4 \nSIMON...\n...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO \nCOMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BEFORE CONDITIONS \nDETERIORATE TONIGHT...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION\n-----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...17.4N 104.8W\nABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...933 MB...27.55 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nNone.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* Punta San Telmo to El Roblito\n* Las Islas Marias\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...\n* East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected\nsomewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36\nhours before the anticipated first occurrence of\ntropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside\npreparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life\nand property should be rushed to completion today.\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are\npossible within the watch area, in this case starting this\nafternoon.\n \nAdditional watches or warnings could be required for portions of the\ncoast of southwestern and west-central Mexico later today.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 1200 PM CST (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Simon was located by \nAir Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 17.4 North, \nlongitude 104.8 West. Simon is drifting toward the north near 1 mph \n(2 km/h). A somewhat faster northward motion is forecast to \ncontinue through the weekend. On the forecast track, Simon is \nexpected to be near or just inland of the west-central coast of \nMexico on Sunday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher \ngusts.  Simon is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson \nHurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening remains possible \ntoday, and Simon is forecast to approach the coast of west-central \nMexico as a major hurricane tonight or early Sunday. An Air Force \nReconnaissance aircraft currently investigating the hurricane.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the \ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles \n(205 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure measured by Air Force \nreconnaissance aircraft is 933 mb (27.55 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC.\n \nWIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the southern part of the\nHurricane Warning area beginning early Sunday, with tropical storm\nconditions expected as soon as this afternoon, with these winds\nspreading northward thereafter. Tropical storm conditions are\npossible within the Tropical Storm Watch area beginning this\nafternoon.\n \nRAINFALL: Simon is expected to produce rainfall totals of 10 to 20\ninches over portions of southwestern Mexico, with isolated maximum\ntotals of 30 inches possible across portions of Michoacan, Colima,\nand Jalisco through Sunday. This rainfall will produce\nlife-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of\nsteep terrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected along the\nimmediate coast near and to the east of where the center makes\nlandfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and\ndestructive waves.\n \nSURF:  Swells generated by Simon will affect portions of the coast\nof southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few days.\nThese swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip\ncurrent conditions. Please consult products from your local weather\noffice.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext complete advisory at 300 PM CST.\n \n"}