{"id": "1217440758179889159", "title": "Hurricane Local Statement", "adv_date": "2026-10-10T03:43:00Z", "wmo": "HLSSGX", "msg": "047\nWTUS86 KSGX 100343\nHLSSGX\nCAZ043-050-058-062-101145-\n\nTropical Storm Rachel Local Statement Advisory Number 52\nNational Weather Service San Diego CA  EP182026\n843 PM PDT Fri Oct 9 2026\n\nThis product covers EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA\n\n**Tropical Storm Rachel Will Bring Coastal Flooding, Wind, and Rain to\n Portions of Southern California Sunday** \n\n\nNEW INFORMATION\n---------------\n\n* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:\n    - None\n\n* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:\n    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for San Diego County \n      Coastal Areas, San Diego County Deserts, San Diego County \n      Mountains, and San Diego County Valleys\n\n* STORM INFORMATION:\n    - About 740 miles south-southwest of San Mateo Point CA or about \n      710 miles south-southwest of Mouth of Tijuana River CA\n    - 23.8N 123.3W\n    - Storm Intensity 45 mph\n    - Movement Northeast or 50 degrees at 9 mph\n\nSITUATION OVERVIEW\n------------------\n\nTropical Storm Rachel is currently just over 700 miles southwest of \nSan Diego, moving northeast towards Northern Baja. Rachel is expected \nto make landfall somewhere near the US/Mexico Border late Saturday \nnight. Tropical storm level impacts have the potential to impact San \nDiego County. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for all of San Diego \nCounty. The main concerns with Tropical Storm Rachel are coastal \nflooding, wind, and periods of heavy rain. The majority of impacts from\nthe tropical storm are expected on Sunday. \n\nSouth swell from Tropical Storm Rachel will arrive on Sunday. The\ncombination of south and northwest swells, increased onshore winds,\nand high tides over 7 feet will maintain a threat of coastal flooding\nand beach erosion along beaches in San Diego County. Surf on Sunday is\ncurrently expected to peak at 5 to 8 feet with sets to 9 feet, \ndecreasing to 3 to 6 feet for Monday and Tuesday. Confidence in \nimpactful coastal flooding is high, with significant coastal flooding \nand beach erosion likely. \n\nWidespread rain is expected on Sunday from Tropical Storm Rachel.\nThere is expected to be a gradient in rainfall amounts with the higher\namounts on the southeastern side of the storm. We have the highest\nconfidence that the heaviest rain will occur over San Diego County\nmountains and deserts. Peak rainfall rates of 0.50 to 0.60 inches are\npossible for the coast and valleys, 0.50 to 0.70 inches per hour\npossible for the deserts, and 0.70 to 1 inch per hour for the\nmountains. Current forecast has rainfall totals of 0.50 to 1.25 inches\nfor the coast, valleys, and deserts and 1 to 2.5 inches for the\nmountains. Areas of flash and urban flooding are possible, especially\nwhere the maximum rainfall rates occur. The San Diego River at Fashion\nValley is currently forecast to peak at 7.4 feet (just below monitor\nstage) Sunday afternoon. Those with interests near the San Diego River\nshould continue to monitor the forecast. \n\nIncreased winds are expected with the onset and passage of Tropical\nStorm Rachel. Sustained winds of 39+ mph are expected on the southeast\nside of the storm. Based on the current track, more southern and\neastern parts of the county are most likely to see winds of this\nmagnitude. Regardless, strong sustained winds and wind gusts can be\nexpected on Sunday. Winds may be enhanced by local terrain with gusts\n40 to 55 mph on the desert slopes of the mountains and into the\ndeserts. Local gusts up to 60 mph possible on mountain ridges.\n\nPOTENTIAL IMPACTS\n-----------------\n\n* WIND:\nPrepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across \nEXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA. Potential impacts include:\n    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored \n      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.\n    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or \n      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are \n      shallow rooted, especially in coastal and valley locations that \n      don't typically experience strong winds. Some fences and \n      roadway signs blown over.\n    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban \n      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on \n      bridges and other elevated roadways.\n    - Scattered power and communications outages.\n\n* FLOODING RAIN:\nPrepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible \nextensive impacts across San Diego County. Potential impacts include:\n    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.\n    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in \n      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and \n      ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas, \n      destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while \n      increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood \n      control systems and barriers may become stressed.\n    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple \n      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed \n      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. \n      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with \n      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. \n      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.\n\nPrepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant \nimpacts across San Diego County.\n\n* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:\nHigh tides over 7 ft, combined with high surf and gusty onshore winds\nwill increase the threat for coastal flooding across area beaches.\nAdditionally surf of 6 to 9 ft will create dangerous swimming\nconditions. There is increasing potential for significant coastal\nflooding and beach erosion. \n\nPRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS\n----------------------------------\n\n* EVACUATIONS:\nFollow the advice of local officials.\n\n* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:\nIf you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as\nlow-elevation areas near the ocean, in a low-lying or poor drainage \narea, or in a valley, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground.\n\nNow is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies \nkit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your \nhome or business.\n\nAlways heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that \nare issued.\n\nClosely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news \noutlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes \nto the forecast.\n\n* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:\n- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov\n- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org\n- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org\n\nNEXT UPDATE\n-----------\n\nThe next local statement will be issued by the National Weather \nService in San Diego CA around 2 AM PDT, or sooner if conditions \nwarrant.\n\n"}