{"id": "1217358525443735559", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-09T21:00:00Z", "msg": "899\nWTPZ35 KNHC 092045\nTCPEP5\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Simon Advisory Number  10\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026\n300 PM CST Fri Oct 09 2026\n \n...SIMON CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...\n...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO\nCOMPLETION TODAY...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...16.2N 104.7W\nABOUT 195 MI...315 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nABOUT 295 MI...480 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nThe government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch for the\ncoast of mainland Mexico from San Blas to El Roblito and for Las\nIslas Marias.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* Punta San Telmo to Punta Mita\n \nA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...\n* Punta Mita to El Roblito\n* Las Islas Marias\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...\n* East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected\nsomewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued\n36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of\ntropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside\npreparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life\nand property should be rushed to completion.\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible\nwithin the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours\nbefore the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force\nwinds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or\ndangerous.\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are\npossible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.\n \nAdditional watches or warnings could be required for portions of the\ncoast of southwestern and west-central Mexico today.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Simon was located \nnear latitude 16.2 North, longitude 104.7 West. Simon is moving \ntoward the northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A gradual turn toward the \nnorth with a slight increase in forward speed is expected through \ntonight. Simon is then forecast to move generally northward, with \nthe center passing very near or over the west-central coast of \nMexico late Saturday or Sunday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) \nwith higher gusts.  Additional rapid strengthening is expected \nduring the next day or so. Simon is forecast to become a major \nhurricane this evening and strengthen further on Saturday.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the\ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles\n(130 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 966 mb (28.53 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC.\n \nWIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning \narea Saturday evening or Sunday, with tropical storm conditions \nexpected as soon as Saturday morning. Hurricane conditions are \npossible in the Hurricane Watch area beginning Sunday afternoon, \nwith tropical storm conditions possible as soon as Sunday morning.  \nTropical storm conditions are possible within the Tropical Storm \nWatch area beginning tonight or early Saturday.\n \nRAINFALL: Simon is expected to produce rainfall totals of 10 to 20 \ninches over portions of southwestern Mexico, with isolated maximum \ntotals of 30 inches possible across portions of Michoacan, Colima, \nJalisco and Nayarit through Sunday.  This rainfall will produce \nlife-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of \nsteep terrain.\n\nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon, \nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic \navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is likely along the\nimmediate coast near and to the east of where the center makes\nlandfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and\ndestructive waves.\n \nSURF:  Swells generated by Simon will affect portions of the coast\nof southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few days.\nThese swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip\ncurrent conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather\noffice.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 600 PM CST.\nNext complete advisory at 900 PM CST.\n \n"}