{"id": "1217251051615059975", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-09T12:00:00Z", "msg": "370\nWTPZ35 KNHC 091138\nTCPEP5\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Simon Intermediate Advisory Number 8A\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026\n600 AM CST Fri Oct 09 2026\n \n...SIMON FORECAST TO APPROACH THE COAST OF MEXICO AS DANGEROUS MAJOR\nHURRICANE THIS WEEKEND...\n\n \nSUMMARY OF 600 AM CST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...15.9N 104.5W\nABOUT 215 MI...345 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nABOUT 320 MI...515 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nNone.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* Punta San Telmo to Punta Mita\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...\n* East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected\nsomewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued\n36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of\ntropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside\npreparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life\nand property should be rushed to completion.\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are\npossible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.\n \nAdditional watches or warnings could be required for portions of the\ncoast of southwestern and west-central Mexico today.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 600 AM CST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Simon was located\nnear latitude 15.9 North, longitude 104.5 West. Simon is moving\ntoward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow turn toward the \nnorth is expected by this evening. On the forecast track, the core \nof Simon is expected to approach the coast of southwestern and\nwest-central Mexico on Saturday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher \ngusts. Rapid strengthening is expected today and tomorrow. Simon is \nforecast to be a very dangerous major hurricane when it approaches \nthe coast of Mexico.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from\nthe center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80\nmiles (130 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC.\n \nWIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area\nSaturday evening or Sunday, with tropical storm conditions expected\nSaturday morning.  Tropical storm conditions are possible within\nthe Tropical Storm Watch area beginning tonight or early Saturday.\n \nRAINFALL: Simon is expected to produce rainfall totals of 8 to 15\ninches over portions of southwestern Mexico, with isolated maximum\ntotals of 25 inches possible across portions of Michoacan, Colima,\nJalisco and Nayarit through Sunday.  This rainfall may produce\nlife-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of\nsteep terrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is possible along the \nimmediate coast near and to the east of where the center makes \nlandfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and \ndestructive waves.\n \nSURF:  Swells generated by Simon will affect portions of the coast \nof southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few days. \nThese swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip \ncurrent conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather \noffice.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext complete advisory at 900 AM CST.\n \n"}