{"id": "1217147023110930439", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-09T03:00:00Z", "msg": "674\nWTNT34 KNHC 090249\nTCPAT4\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Isaias Advisory Number  10\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092026\n1000 PM CDT Thu Oct 08 2026\n \n...ISAIAS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AS A\nDANGEROUS HURRICANE ON FRIDAY...\n...STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION\n-----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...25.4N 88.4W\nABOUT 295 MI...475 KM NNE OF PROGRESO MEXICO\nABOUT 260 MI...415 KM S OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nNone.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...\n* Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Suwannee River\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* Ocean Springs, MS to the Bay/Gulf County Line, FL\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...\n* Jefferson/Plaquemines Parish Line, LA to west of Ocean Springs, MS\n* East of Bay/Gulf County Line to Aucilla River, FL\n \nA Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...\n* Suwannee River to Yankeetown, FL\n \nA Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening\ninundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,\nduring the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a depiction\nof areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm\nSurge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a\nlife-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas\nshould take all necessary actions to protect life and property from\nrising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.\nPromptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local\nofficials.\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected\nsomewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 to 36\nhours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to\ncompletion.\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are\nexpected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.\n \nA Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-\nthreatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the\ncoastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For\na depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather\nService Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at\nhurricanes.gov.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, including possible\ninland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your\nlocal National Weather Service forecast office.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Isaias was \nlocated near latitude 25.4 North, longitude 88.4 West. Isaias is \nmoving toward the northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn toward the \nnorth is expected on Friday. On the forecast track, Isaias is \nexpected to approach the U.S. northern Gulf Coast on Friday and make \nlandfall within the warning area late Friday or early Saturday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) \nwith higher gusts. Isaias could briefly become a major hurricane \nearly Friday. Although some weakening is forecast thereafter, Isaias \nwill remain a dangerous hurricane as it approaches the northern Gulf \nCoast late Friday.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the \ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles \n(205 km). NOAA buoy 42001 in the central Gulf recently reported \nsustained winds of 45 mph (72 km/h) and a gust of 56 mph (90 km/h).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Isaias can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC.\n \nSTORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the\ntide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by\nrising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could\nreach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated\nareas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...\n \nDauphin Island, AL to Indian Pass, FL...5-7 ft\nIndian Pass, FL to Steinhatchee River, FL...4-6 ft\nOcean Springs, MS to Dauphin Island, AL...4-6 ft\nMobile Bay...4-6 ft\nMouth of the Mississippi River, LA to Ocean Springs, MS...3-5 ft\nSteinhatchee River, FL to Suwannee River, FL...3-5 ft\nSuwannee River, FL to Yankeetown, FL...2-4 ft\nYankeetown, FL to Egmont Key, FL...1-3 ft\nLake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft\nMorgan City, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-2 ft\n \nThe deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of\nonshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and\ndangerous waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative\ntiming of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over\nshort distances. For information specific to your area, please see\nproducts issued by your local National Weather Service forecast\noffice.\n \nFor a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,\nplease see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge.\n \nWIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning\narea Friday night into early Saturday, with tropical storm\nconditions beginning on Friday. Tropical storm conditions are\nexpected in the warning areas on Friday and Friday night.\n \nRAINFALL: From Friday through the weekend, Isaias is expected to\nproduce rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches across southern Alabama,\nthe Florida Panhandle and Big Bend, and southwest Georgia. Localized\ntotals up to 15 inches are possible, particularly within banding\nacross the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend. Across the coastal\nCarolinas, rainfall of 3 to 5 inches, with localized totals up to 8\ninches are possible. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches, with\nlocalized amounts up to 5 inches, are possible across much of the\nremainder of the Southeast. Flash and urban flooding is likely\nacross the region, with considerable impacts possible across much of\nsouthern Alabama and the Florida Panhandle into southwestern\nGeorgia. River flooding is also expected, some of which could be\nsignificant.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with\nIsaias, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall\nGraphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and\nthe Flash Flood Risk graphic at\nhurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero.\n \nTORNADOES: A risk for tornadoes will begin Friday evening in coastal\nareas of Alabama, the Florida Panhandle, and far southwest Georgia.\nThe tornado threat will continue through Saturday for parts of\neastern Alabama into Georgia and the Florida Panhandle.\n \nSURF: Swells from Isaias are affecting the western and northern\nportions of the Yucatan Peninsula and will spread northward toward\nthe Gulf Coast on Friday. These swells are likely to cause\nlife-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult\nproducts from your local weather office.\n \nA depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found\nat: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ripCurrents\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.\nNext complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.\n \n"}