{"id": "1217144866202976263", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-09T03:00:00Z", "msg": "376\nWTPZ35 KNHC 090238\nTCPEP5\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Simon Advisory Number   7\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026\n900 PM CST Thu Oct 08 2026\n \n...SIMON BECOMES A HURRICANE...\n...RAPID INTENSIFICATION FORECAST...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 900 PM CST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...15.6N 104.6W\nABOUT 235 MI...380 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nABOUT 340 MI...545 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nThe government of Mexico has upgraded the Hurricane Watch from\nPlaya Perula to Punta Mita, Mexico, to a Hurricane Warning.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* Punta San Telmo to Punta Mita\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...\n* East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected\nsomewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued\n36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of\ntropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside\npreparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life\nand property should be rushed to completion.\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible\nwithin the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours\nbefore the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force\nwinds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or\ndangerous.\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are\npossible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.\n \nAdditional watches or warnings could be required for portions of the\ncoast of southwestern and west-central Mexico tonight or Friday.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Simon was located\nnear latitude 15.6 North, longitude 104.6 West. Simon is moving\ntoward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h).  A turn to the\nnorthwest is expected by early Friday, followed by a northward\nmotion by early Saturday.  On the forecast track, the core of Simon\nis expected to approach the coast of southwestern and west-central\nMexico on Saturday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) \nwith higher gusts.  Rapid intensification is forecast, and Simon is\nexpected to become a very dangerous category 4 hurricane before it\nreaches the coast of Mexico.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the\ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles\n(150 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC.\n \nWIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area\nSaturday afternoon or evening, with tropical storm conditions\nexpected Saturday morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible\nwithin the Tropical Storm Watch area beginning Friday.\n \nRAINFALL: Simon is expected to produce rainfall totals of 8 to 15\ninches over portions of southwestern Mexico, with isolated maximum\ntotals of 25 inches possible across portions of Michoacan, Colima\nand Jalisco through Sunday.  This rainfall may produce\nlife-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of\nsteep terrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is possible along the\nimmediate coast near and to the east of where the center makes\nlandfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and\ndestructive waves.\n \nSURF:  Swells generated by Simon will affect portions of the coast\nof southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few days.\nThese swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip\ncurrent conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather\noffice.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 1200 AM CST.\nNext complete advisory at 300 AM CST.\n \n"}