{"id": "1217072801911373831", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-10-08T21:00:00Z", "msg": "164\nWTPZ35 KNHC 082032\nTCPEP5\n \nBULLETIN\nTropical Storm Simon Advisory Number   6\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202026\n300 PM CST Thu Oct 08 2026\n \n...SIMON ALMOST A HURRICANE...\n...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL \nMEXICO...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...15.7N 103.9W\nABOUT 230 MI...370 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nABOUT 345 MI...555 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.30 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nThe government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Warning from Punta\nSan Telmo to Playa Perula and a Tropical Storm Watch from Lazaro\nCardenas to Punta San Telmo.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula\n \nA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...\n* West of Playa Perula to Punta Mita\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...\n* East of Punta San Telmo to Lazaro Cardenas\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected\nsomewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued\n36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of\ntropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside\npreparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life\nand property should be rushed to completion.\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible\nwithin the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours\nbefore the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force\nwinds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or\ndangerous.\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are\npossible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.\n \nAdditional watches or warnings could be required for portions of the\ncoast of southwestern and west-central Mexico tonight or Friday.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor products \nissued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Simon was \nlocated near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 103.9 West. Simon is \nmoving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn to the northwest \nis expected by early Friday, followed by a northward motion Friday \nnight. On the forecast track, the core of Simon is expected to \napproach the coast of southwestern and west-central Mexico on \nSaturday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) \nwith higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast, and Simon is \nexpected to become a hurricane tonight and a very dangerous category \n4 hurricane before it reaches the coast of Mexico.\n \nTropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)\nfrom the center.\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.30 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Simon can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC.\n \nWIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area\nSaturday afternoon or evening, with tropical storm conditions\nexpected Saturday morning. Hurricane conditions are possible within\nthe hurricane watch area by Saturday night, with tropical storm\nconditions beginning on Saturday. Tropical storm conditions are\npossible within the tropical storm watch area beginning Friday.\n \nRAINFALL:  Simon is expected to produce rainfall totals of 8 to 15\ninches over portions of southwestern Mexico, with isolated maximum\ntotals between 15 and 25 inches possible across portions of\nMichoacan, Colima and Jalisco through Sunday. This rainfall may\nproduce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas\nof steep terrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Simon,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?rainqpf.\n \nSTORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is possible along the \nimmediate coast near and to the east of where the center makes \nlandfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and \ndestructive waves.\n \nSURF:  Swells generated by Simon will affect portions of the coast\nof southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next few days.\nThese swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip\ncurrent conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather\noffice.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 600 PM CST.\nNext complete advisory at 900 PM CST.\n \n"}