{"id": "1216796365544128519", "title": "Hurricane Local Statement", "adv_date": "2026-10-07T21:06:00Z", "wmo": "HLSTAE", "msg": "714\nWTUS82 KTAE 072106\nHLSTAE\nALZ065>069-FLZ007>015-108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-326-426-080515-\n\nTropical Storm Isaias Local Statement Advisory Number 5\nNational Weather Service Tallahassee FL  AL092026\n506 PM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026 /406 PM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026/\n\nThis product covers eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, \nsoutheastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia\n\n**ISAIAS QUICKLY INTENSIFYING, FORECAST TO BE A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY \nMORNING** \n\n\nNEW INFORMATION\n---------------\n\n* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:\n    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Calhoun, Coffee, \n      Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston, Inland Franklin, Jackson, \n      Northern Liberty, and Southern Liberty\n\n* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:\n    - A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch are in effect for \n      Coastal Bay, Coastal Gulf, and South Walton\n    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for \n      Coastal Franklin, Coastal Jefferson, and Coastal Wakulla\n    - A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Central Walton and North \n      Walton\n    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for Coastal Dixie and Coastal \n      Taylor\n    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Calhoun, Coffee, Dale, \n      Geneva, Henry, Holmes, Houston, Inland Bay, Inland Franklin, \n      Inland Gulf, Jackson, Northern Liberty, Southern Liberty, and \n      Washington\n\n* STORM INFORMATION:\n    - About 680 miles southwest of Panama City or about 690 miles \n      southwest of Apalachicola\n    - 22.7N 92.9W\n    - Storm Intensity 65 mph\n    - Movement East-northeast or 65 degrees at 8 mph\n\nSITUATION OVERVIEW\n------------------\n\n...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND INLAND FLORIDA PANHANDLE\nCOUNTIES...\n\nAt 5 PM ET, Tropical Storm Isaias was still located in the Bay of\nCampeche with maximum sustained winds of 65 mph and moving ENE at\n8 mph. Isaias is forecast to turn northward in the next day or so and\naccelerate in forward speed towards the central Gulf coast. Steady\nstrengthening is expected through much of the next couple of days,\nalthough some weakening may be possible just before landfall. The wind\nfield is expected to expand considerably and may be lopsided towards\nthe east, leading to windier conditions for portions of our area.\nThere is still considerable uncertainty with both timing and track.\nConditions could begin to deteriorate across the Panhandle as early as\nFriday morning. \n\nGiven the expected large size of Isaias, the wind threat may extend\nwell into the eastern portions of our area. An expected fast forward\nspeed may also lead to the wind threat extending further inland. Storm\nsurge will be possible along our whole coastline including the\nPanhandle and Apalachee Bay. Inundation values of 5 to 7 feet above\nground level (AGL) are possible across the coastal Panhandle to Indian\nPass, 4 to 6 feet AGL from Indian Pass to the Steinhatchee River, and\n2 to 4 feet AGL from the Steinhatchee River to Yankeetown. \n\nSoggy conditions across the region from recent rainfall will make the \narea more sensitive to flooding from additional heavy rainfall from \nIsaias. Forecast rainfall totals of 3 to 7 inches is expected across \nmuch of the area, with isolated amounts near 10 inches possible. If \nrealized, these values would likely cause at least isolated flash \nflooding and some river flooding. It is too soon to determine exact \ntornado impacts, but there is an elevated chance for tornadoes Friday \ninto Saturday.\n\n\n\nPOTENTIAL IMPACTS\n-----------------\n\n* FLOODING RAIN:\nPrepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible \nextensive impacts across the Florida Panhandle and portions of SE \nAlabama. Potential impacts include:\n    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.\n    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in \n      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become \n      dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become \n      stressed.\n    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple \n      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed \n      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. \n      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with \n      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. \n      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.\n\nPrepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited to \nsignificant impacts across southeast Alabama, southwest Georgia, and \nthe Florida Big Bend.\n\n* WIND:\nPrepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across \nSoutheast Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. Potential impacts in this \narea include:\n    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage \n      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings \n      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile \n      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight \n      objects become dangerous projectiles.\n    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater \n      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several \n      fences and roadway signs blown over.\n    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban \n      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access \n      routes impassable.\n    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent \n      in areas with above ground lines.\n\nAlso, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts \nacross the Florida Big Bend and Southeast Alabama.\n\nElsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, and \nsouthwestern Georgia, little to no impact is anticipated.\n\n* SURGE:\nPrepare for life-threatening surge having possible extensive impacts \nacross coastal Florida Panhandle and Florida Big Bend. Potential \nimpacts in this area include:\n    - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding \n      accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings, \n      with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating \n      debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.\n    - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads \n      washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and \n      barriers may become stressed.\n    - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.\n    - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many \n      small craft broken away from moorings, especially in \n      unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.\n\nElsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, \nsoutheastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is \nanticipated.\n\n* TORNADOES:\nPrepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across the\nFlorida Panhandle. Potential impacts include:\n    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution \n      of emergency plans during tropical events.\n    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power \n      and communications disruptions.\n    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys \n      toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, \n      large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees \n      knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats \n      pulled from moorings.\n\nElsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, \nsoutheastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is \nanticipated.\n\nPRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS\n----------------------------------\n\n* EVACUATIONS:\nFollow the advice of local officials\n\n* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:\nNow is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies \nkit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your \nhome or business.\n\nWhen making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the \nexact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging \nwind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the \ncenter of the storm. \n\n\nIf you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as \nnear the Gulf of America or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or \npoor drainage area, or near an already swollen river, plan to move to \nsafe shelter on higher ground.\n\nAlways heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that \nare issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of \nothers.\n\nWhen securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded \nas soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of \nstrong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness \nactivities to become unsafe.\n\nBe sure to let friends and family members know of your intentions for \nweathering the storm and your whereabouts. Have someone located away \nfrom the threatened area serve as your point of contact. Share vital \ncontact information with others. Keep cell phones handy and charged.\n\nCheck on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are \nunable to make personal preparations.\n\nIf you are a visitor, know the name of the county in which you are \nlocated and where it is relative to current watches and warnings. If \nstaying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their onsite \ndisaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially pertaining to \narea visitors.\n\nClosely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news \noutlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes \nto the forecast.\n\n* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:\n- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov\n- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org\n\nNEXT UPDATE\n-----------\n\nThe next local statement will be issued by the National Weather \nService in Tallahassee FL around 11 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions \nwarrant.\n\n"}