{"msg": "368\nAXPZ20 KNHC 071625\nTWDEP \nTropical Weather Discussion\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\n1605 UTC Wed Oct 7 2026\nTropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from\n03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and\nfrom the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following\ninformation is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,\nradar, and meteorological analysis.\nBased on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through\n1530 UTC.\n...SPECIAL FEATURES...\nHurricane Rachel is centered near 20.9N 121.8W at 07/1500 UTC,\nmoving west-northwest at 6 kt. Estimated minimum central\npressure is 979 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 70 kt with\ngusts to 85 kt. Peak seas are near 30 ft. Scattered moderate  \nconvection is occurring from 19N-23N and between 119W-123W. A \ngenerally west to west-northwestward motion is expected during \nthe next couple of days. Rachel is then forecast to slow down \nbefore making a sharp turn to the northeast by the end of the \nweek. Gradual to steady weakening is forecast over the next few\ndays.\nTropical Depression Twenty-E is centered near 14.1N 100.9W at\n07/1500 UTC, moving west-northwest at 7 kt. Estimated minimum\ncentral pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30\nkt with gusts to 40 kt. Peak seas are around 9 ft. Numerous \nmoderate and scattered strong convection is from 09N-16N between \n97W-107W. This same general motion is expected to continue for \nthe next couple of days. Some strengthening is forecast during \nthe next 48 hours, and the depression is forecast to become a \ntropical storm by tonight.\n \nPlease read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the \nNational Hurricane Center at website - \nhttps://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest \nRachel NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at \nwww.hurricanes.gov for more details.\n...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...\nThe monsoon trough exits coastal Costa Rica near 10N85W to a 1004\nmb low near 13N100W. The monsoon trough restarts at 11N115W and\nextends to beyond 10N140W. Numerous moderate and scattered strong\nconvection is from 09N-16N between 97W-107W. Scattered moderate\nand isolated strong convection is noted from 02S-04N between\n129W-140W.\n...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...\nPlease see the Special Features section above for information on \nTropical Depression Twenty-E offshore of southern Mexico.\nAside from the newly formed Twenty-E, the offshore zones west of\nBaja California Sur are still being impacted by large SW swell\nproduced by Hurricane Rachel. The remainder of forecast waters\nhas winds moderate or weaker with seas 4-7 ft over the Pacific\nwaters and 1-2 ft over the Gulf of California.\nFor the forecast, Hurricane Rachel will move to 21.3N 122.6W \nthis evening, weaken to a tropical storm near 21.9N 123.8W Thu \nmorning, 22.3N 124.8W Thu evening, 22.7N 124.9W Fri morning, \n23.5N 123.7W Fri evening, and 25.2N 121.5W Sat morning. Rachel \nshould reach the offshore zones off of Baja California Norte on \nSat and become post-tropical. Finally, the system is forecast to \nmove across Baja California Norte just south of the California- \nMexico border near 31.0N 116.8W early Sun. Twenty-E will \nstrengthen to a tropical storm near 14.6N 102.0W this evening, \nmove to 15.0N 103.3W Thu morning, 15.3N 104.3W Thu evening, \nstrengthen to a hurricane near 15.8N 104.9W Fri morning, 16.4N \n105.2W Fri evening, and 17.2N 105.2W Sat morning. Twenty-E will \nchange little in intensity as it moves to 19.7N 105.4W early Sun \nas it approaches Cabo Corrientes. The system will slowly be \ntraversing the offshore zones off of southern Mexico for the next\nfive days.\n...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, \nAND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...\nWinds across forecast waters are gentle with seas 4-6 ft.\nFor the forecast, quiescent winds and seas should continue over \nthe Central American and Equatorial Zones for the next few days. \nLooking ahead, an area of low pressure is forecast to form south \nof the coast of Guatemala during the early portion of next week. \nEnvironmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual \ndevelopment of this system thereafter, while it moves generally \nwest-northwestward around 10 kt. Tropical cyclone formation \nchance is near zero through 48 hours and is low through 7 days.\n...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...\nPlease see the Special Features section above for information on\nHurricane Rachel located over the NE waters.\nAway from Hurricane Rachel, a weak pressure gradient supports \nmoderate or weaker winds across forecast waters. Large long- \nperiod SW swell is moving across the southern border between \n95W-125W. Elsewhere, seas are 5-7 ft in mixed swell.\nFor the forecast, Hurricane Rachel will move to 21.3N 122.6W \nthis evening, weaken to a tropical storm near 21.9N 123.8W Thu \nmorning, 22.3N 124.8W Thu evening, 22.7N 124.9W Fri morning, \n23.5N 123.7W Fri evening, and 25.2N 121.5W Sat morning. Rachel \nshould reach the offshore zones off of Baja California Norte on \nSat and become post-tropical. Finally, the system is forecast to \nmove across Baja California Norte just south of the California- \nMexico border near 31.0N 116.8W early Sun. Additionally, the\nlarge SW swell will continue near our southern border for the\nnext several days.\n", "title": "Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion", "id": "1216741133577519111", "issued": "2026-10-07T16:05:00Z", "wmo": "AXPZ20", "source": "NOAA/NWS National Hurricane Center, received via the National Weather Wire Service", "page": "https://hurricane.terrapin.com/text/1216741133577519111"}