{"id": "1216729717536817159", "title": "Hurricane Local Statement", "adv_date": "2026-10-07T15:27:00Z", "wmo": "HLSTAE", "msg": "938\nWTUS82 KTAE 071527\nHLSTAE\nFLZ108-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-072330-\n\nTropical Storm Isaias Local Statement Advisory Number 4\nNational Weather Service Tallahassee FL  AL092026\n1127 AM EDT Wed Oct 7 2026 /1027 AM CDT Wed Oct 7 2026/\n\nThis product covers eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia\n\n**HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WATCHES ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE \nNORTHERN GULF COAST FOR STRENGTHENING ISAIAS** \n\n\nNEW INFORMATION\n---------------\n\n* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:\n    - A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch have been issued for \n      Coastal Bay, Coastal Gulf, and South Walton\n    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued \n      for Coastal Franklin, Coastal Jefferson, and Coastal Wakulla\n    - A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for Coastal Dixie and \n      Coastal Taylor\n\n* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:\n    - A Storm Surge Watch and Hurricane Watch are in effect for \n      Coastal Bay, Coastal Gulf, and South Walton\n    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for \n      Coastal Franklin, Coastal Jefferson, and Coastal Wakulla\n    - A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for Coastal Dixie and Coastal \n      Taylor\n\n* STORM INFORMATION:\n    - About 720 miles southwest of Panama City or about 730 miles \n      southwest of Apalachicola\n    - 22.4N 93.6W\n    - Storm Intensity 45 mph\n    - Movement East-northeast or 70 degrees at 8 mph\n\nSITUATION OVERVIEW\n------------------\n\n...ISAIAS IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN AS IT APPROACHES THE CENTRAL GULF COAST \nLATE THIS WEEK...\n\nAt 11 AM ET, Tropical Storm Isaias was still located in the Bay of \nCampeche and moving ENE at 8 mph. Isaias is forecast to turn northward \nin the next day or so and accelerate in forward speed towards the \ncentral Gulf coast. Steady strengthening is expected through much of the \nnext couple of days, although some weakening may be possible just before \nlandfall. The wind field is expected to expand considerably and may be \nlopsided towards the east, leading to windier conditions for portions of \nour area. There is still considerable uncertainty with both timing and \ntrack. Conditions could begin to deteriorate across the Panhandle as \nearly as Friday morning. \n\nGiven the expected large size of Isaias, the wind threat may extend well \ninto the eastern portions of our area. An expected fast forward speed \nmay also lead to the wind threat extending further inland. Storm surge \nwill be possible along our whole coastline including the Panhandle and \nApalachee Bay. Inundation values of 5 to 7 feet above ground level (AGL) \nare possible across the coastal Panhandle to Indian Pass, 3 to 5 feet AGL \nfrom Indian Pass to the Aucilla River, and 2 to 4 feet AGL from the \nAucilla River to Yankeetown. \n\nSoggy conditions across the region from recent rainfall will make the area\nmore sensitive to flooding from additional heavy rainfall from Isaias. \nForecast rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches is expected across much of the\narea, with isolated amounts near 10 inches possible. If realized, these \nvalues would likely cause at least isolated flash flooding and some river \nflooding. It is too soon to determine exact tornado impacts, if any, but \na few cannot be ruled out at this time.  \n\n\nPOTENTIAL IMPACTS\n-----------------\n\n* FLOODING RAIN:\nPrepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible \nextensive impacts across the FL Panhandle. Potential \nimpacts include:\n    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.\n    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in \n      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, and ditches may become \n      dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may become \n      stressed.\n    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple \n      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed \n      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. \n      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with \n      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. \n      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.\n\nPrepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited to \nsignificant impacts across southeast Alabama, southwest Georgia, and \nthe Florida Big Bend.\n\n* SURGE:\nPrepare for life-threatening surge having possible extensive impacts \nacross the coastal Florida Panhandle and Florida Big Bend. Potential \nimpacts in this area include:\n    - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding \n      accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to buildings, \n      with several washing away. Damage compounded by floating \n      debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an extended period.\n    - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads \n      washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems and \n      barriers may become stressed.\n    - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.\n    - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many \n      small craft broken away from moorings, especially in \n      unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and stranded.\n\nElsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, \nsoutheastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is \nanticipated.\n\n* WIND:\nPrepare for dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across \nthe Florida Panhandle. Potential impacts in this area include:\n    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage \n      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings \n      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile \n      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight \n      objects become dangerous projectiles.\n    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater \n      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several \n      fences and roadway signs blown over.\n    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban \n      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access \n      routes impassable.\n    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent \n      in areas with above ground lines.\n\nAlso, prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts \nacross the Florida Big Bend and Southeast Alabama.\n\nElsewhere across eastern Florida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, \nsoutheastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia, little to no impact is \nanticipated.\n\n* TORNADOES:\nLittle to no impacts are anticipated at this time across eastern \nFlorida panhandle, Florida Big Bend, southeastern Alabama and \nsouthwestern Georgia.\n\nPRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS\n----------------------------------\n\n* EVACUATIONS:\nFollow the advice of local officials\n\n* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:\nNow is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies \nkit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your \nhome or business.\n\nWhen making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the \nexact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging \nwind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the \ncenter of the storm. \n\nIf you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as \nnear the Gulf of America or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or \npoor drainage area, or near an already swollen river, plan to move to \nsafe shelter on higher ground.\n\nAlways heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that \nare issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of \nothers.\n\nWhen securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded \nas soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of \nstrong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness \nactivities to become unsafe.\n\nBe sure to let friends and family members know of your intentions for \nweathering the storm and your whereabouts. Have someone located away \nfrom the threatened area serve as your point of contact. Share vital \ncontact information with others. Keep cell phones handy and charged.\n\nCheck on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are \nunable to make personal preparations.\n\nIf you are a visitor, know the name of the county in which you are \nlocated and where it is relative to current watches and warnings. If \nstaying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their onsite \ndisaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially pertaining to \narea visitors.\n\nClosely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news \noutlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes \nto the forecast.\n\n* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:\n- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov\n- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org\n\nNEXT UPDATE\n-----------\n\nThe next local statement will be issued by the National Weather \nService in Tallahassee FL around 5 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions \nwarrant.\n\n"}